Brazil unemployment rate in October
50/50 line37%Above 5.2%
Line nearest 50/50
37%
Market median
5.135%
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$401
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 4.7%
96%
Above 4.8%
94%
Above 4.9%
87%
Above 5.0%
74%
Above 5.1%
57%
Above 5.2%
37%
+21
Above 5.3%
25%
Above 5.4%
15%
Above 5.5%
11%
Above 5.6%
6%
What the market expects
median 5.135%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyAll outcomes
10| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.7% | 96% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 4.8% | 94% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 4.9% | 87% | — | $0 | $1 |
| Above 5.0% | 74% | — | $0 | $100 |
| Above 5.1% | 57% | — | $0 | $353 |
| Above 5.2% | 37% | +21.0 | $200 | $758 |
| Above 5.3% | 25% | — | $0 | $67 |
| Above 5.4% | 15% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 5.5% | 11% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 5.6% | 6% | — | $201 | $201 |
Same series
- Canada unemployment rate in November≈ Above 6.5% 60% · settles 2026-12-04
- Australia unemployment rate in October≈ Above 4.7% 43% · settles 2026-11-19
- Germany unemployment rate in November≈ Above 6.4% 24% · settles 2026-11-27
- Russia unemployment rate in October≈ Above 2.2% 39% · settles 2026-12-02