Canada unemployment rate in November

10 outcomesSettles Dec 04, 2026 (22d)

50/50 line60%Above 6.5%

Line nearest 50/50

60%

Above 6.5%

Market median

6.632%

even odds of landing above or below

Biggest 24h move-4 pts

62%

Above 6.6%

24h volume

$2K

$2K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Above 6.2% 98%

Above 6.3% 86%

Above 6.4% 84% -5

Above 6.6% 62% -4

Above 6.5% 60% -4

Above 6.7% 29%

Above 6.8% 20% -2

Above 6.9% 12%

Above 7.0% 4%

Above 7.1% 3%

median 6.632%

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

rungs nearest 50/50 · hourly

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
Above 6.2%	98%	—	$977	$889
Above 6.3%	86%	—	$0	$0
Above 6.4%	84%	-5.0	$218	$329
Above 6.6%	62%	-4.0	$503	$175
Above 6.5%	60%	-4.0	$98	$98
Above 6.7%	29%	—	$0	$0
Above 6.8%	20%	-2.0	$200	$200
Above 6.9%	12%	—	$0	$0
Above 7.0%	4%	—	$0	$0
Above 7.1%	3%	—	$0	$0