K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will Ilhan Omar be arrested before Jan 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (49d) All outcomes: Who will be arrested in 2026?

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chance of YES10% +4.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
7–45%
· 7d -21 pts
24h volume
3.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
37.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Jensen Huang22%672
John Brennan8%1.9K
Mahmoud Khalil7%—
James Clapper6%—
Letitia James5%93
Loretta Lynch5%—
Susan Rice4%—
Lisa Cook4%1

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO76¢ 2,890$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.