Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
chance of YES92%
+8.0pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
84–92%
24h volume
3.8K
Open interest
4.5K
Large orders (14d)
$4K
Odds and volume
hourly, 3dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 87¢ | 1,500 | $1K | |
| YES | 84¢ | 3,127 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.