K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Above 190
Settles Oct 27, 2026 (7d) All outcomes: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

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chance of YES48% +7.5pp in 24h
Price range (2d)
39–49%
24h volume
725
$1 contracts
Open interest
1.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 2d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 15094%1.3K
Above 16092%3.8K
Above 17084%5.0K
Above 18075%1.7K
Above 18560%401
Above 19546%379
Above 20033%819
Above 20522%493