Will there be more than 195 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

Above 195
Settles Oct 27, 2026 (7d) All outcomes: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

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chance of YES46%
Price range (120d)
35–35%
24h volume
379
$1 contracts
Open interest
379
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

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Above 19048%725
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Above 20522%493