Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
chance of YES82%
+6.5pp in 24h
Price range (44h)
75–84%
24h volume
5.0K
Open interest
2.5K
Large orders (14d)
$1K
Odds and volume
hourly, 44hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 82¢ | 1,604 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.