kalshi Financials

Will Tesla or SpaceX announce a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026?

Before Nov 1, 2026
Closes Nov 01, 2026 (45d) 24h volume 38.2K Open interest 69.1K Event When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
6%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 53 days · High 22% · Low 4% · 7d +9.1pp · 30d +9.1pp
22%4%

Other outcomes in this event

Before 2028
68% YES
24h vol 701
Before May 1, 2027
55% YES
24h vol 114
Before Apr 1, 2027
42% YES
24h vol 41
Before Mar 1, 2027
30% YES
24h vol 1
Before Feb 1, 2027
22% YES
24h vol 600
Before Jan 1, 2027
18% YES
24h vol 525
Before Dec 1, 2026
14% YES
24h vol 3
Before Oct 1, 2026
2% YES
24h vol 11.8K

Recent news mentioning this market

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
4.0¢ 26 8.0¢ 30
3.0¢ 65 9.0¢ 159
2.0¢ 103 10.0¢ 100
1.0¢ 1000 11.0¢ 82
12.0¢ 103
Spread 4.0¢ · Mid 6.0¢

Related stocks

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.