What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Time's Person of the Year for 2026

chance of YES10% -1.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

5–15%

30d +10 pts · 7d +38 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

84.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

18¢ / 19¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 18.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

AI7%278