What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Donald Trump

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 149 Open interest 23.8K Event Time's Person of the Year for 2026

26%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 34% · Low 21% · 7d +3.9pp · 30d +12.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.