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Will Pope Leo XIV be Time Person of the Year in 2026?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Time's Person of the Year for 2026

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES19% +2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
8–23%
30d +100 pts · 7d +25 pts
24h volume
841
$1 contracts
Open interest
89.2K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
8¢ / 9¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
8.0¢ 1,213 9.0¢ 1,933
7.0¢ 124 10.0¢ 162
6.0¢ 1,291 11.0¢ 367
5.0¢ 5,190 12.0¢ 514
4.0¢ 10,040 13.0¢ 50

Mid 8.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

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