Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Time's Person of the Year for 2026

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chance of YES30%
Price range (120d)
26–38%
30d +3 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
8.4K
$1 contracts
Open interest
472.2K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
29¢ / 30¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
29.0¢ 59 30.0¢ 5,802
28.0¢ 492 31.0¢ 6,915
27.0¢ 437 32.0¢ 7,620
26.0¢ 378 33.0¢ 7,495
25.0¢ 2,145 34.0¢ 7,306

Mid 29.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES30¢ 6,253$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.