What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Zohran Mamdani

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 592 Open interest 49.7K Event Time's Person of the Year for 2026

20%

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 23% · Low 10% · 7d +25.0pp · 30d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.