What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

James Talarico

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 52 Open interest 1.0K Event Time's Person of the Year for 2026

implied YES probability

Last 13 days · High 14% · Low 5% · 7d -35.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.