What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

John Ratcliffe

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (116d) 24h volume 50 Open interest 7.5K Event Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

18%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 60 days · High 36% · Low 12% · 7d -5.3pp · 30d -5.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.