Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
chance of YES18%
-1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
15–33%
24h volume
9.3K
Open interest
400.3K
Bid / ask
35¢ / 36¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35.0¢ | 108 | 36.0¢ | 295 |
| 34.0¢ | 618 | 37.0¢ | 379 |
| 33.0¢ | 699 | 38.0¢ | 4,177 |
| 32.0¢ | 8,461 | 39.0¢ | 60 |
| 31.0¢ | 3,109 | 41.0¢ | 12 |
Mid 35.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Ric Grenell66%1
Susie Wiles44%5.0K
Mike Waltz42%56
Pete Hegseth34%3.9K
Amy Gleason32%155
Tilman Fertitta30%67
Doug Collins26%127
Mike Huckabee20%159
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 80¢ | 1,432 | $1K | |
| NO | 80¢ | 1,698 | $1K | |
| NO | 80¢ | 1,692 | $1K | |
| NO | 80¢ | 1,698 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.