What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Tom Homan

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (116d) 24h volume 177 Open interest 10.4K Event Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

16%

implied YES probability

Last 67 days · High 22% · Low 14% · 7d -5.6pp · 30d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.