K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will integrated system load on the ERCOT grid during 2026 get above 91,500 MW?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (48d) All outcomes: How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

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chance of YES4% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–86%
30d -25 pts · 7d -50 pts
24h volume
—
$1 contracts
Open interest
36.7K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$11K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 92,000 MW4%234
Above 92,500 MW4%—
Above 93,000 MW2%—
Above 94,000 MW2%—
Above 96,000 MW2%—
Above 98,000 MW2%—

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO97¢ 1,375$1K
NO95¢ 10,000$10K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.