What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

chance of YES4% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

3–53%

30d +0 pts · 7d +0 pts

24h volume

234

$1 contracts

Open interest

39.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$15K

10% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 6, 12:34 PM ET	NO	96¢	5,035	$5K
Nov 6, 12:33 PM ET	NO	96¢	5,000	$5K
Nov 4, 3:55 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,495	$1K
Nov 3, 7:05 AM ET	NO	96¢	2,500	$2K
Nov 1, 10:54 PM ET	YES	4¢	39,015	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.