Biggest prediction-market swings, last 24 hours
Kalshi and Polymarket questions whose odds moved the most since yesterday: where each stood a day ago, where it trades now, and how much changed hands.
10+ point swings
31
Biggest swing97% → 17%
-80pts
Up / down
85 / 69
24h volume
$8.4M
Movers
top 100 of 154 · 24h| Market | 24h ago → now | Move | 24h vol | Settles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF over 9.5 points scored
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
97% → 17%
|
-80 | $8K | Nov 01, 2026 |
| Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?
P Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
12% → 72%
|
+60 | $8K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Tie is the result
K Sports |
26% → 87%
|
+61 | $10K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| New Zealand A wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
66% → 26%
|
-39 | $11K | Nov 06, 2026 |
| Unsettled Resentment wins
K Sports |
64% → 16%
|
-49 | $8K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| United Arab Emirates wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
70% → 40%
|
-30 | $80K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Philadelphia wins by over 4.5 points
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
31% → 60%
|
+29 | $144K | Nov 01, 2026 |
| Pakistan wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
66% → 36%
|
-30 | $193K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Simmons Bank Championship: Zach Johnson wins
K Sports |
15% → 41%
|
+26 | $8K | Nov 15, 2026 |
| VidantaWorld Mexico Open: Andrew Novak wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
2% → 30%
|
+27 | $233K | Nov 15, 2026 |
| Pumas UNAM wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
46% → 88%
|
+43 | $1.6M | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Denver wins by over 4.5 points
K Sports · +2 more outcomes moved |
46% → 88%
|
+42 | $843K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
P Sports |
65% → 44%
|
-22 | $60K | Nov 07, 2026 |
| Jonah Coleman: 15+ receiving yards
K Sports |
42% → 66%
|
+24 | $13K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Kent St. wins 1H by over 4.5 points
K Sports |
55% → 9%
|
-46 | $70K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Guandong GZ-Power FC wins
K Sports |
52% → 10%
|
-42 | $11K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Notre Dame over 41.5 points scored
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
80% → 58%
|
-21 | $9K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Full Game: Over 7.5 goals scored
K Sports |
47% → 12%
|
-35 | $21K | Nov 01, 2026 |
| Jeremy McNichols: 25+ rushing yards
K Sports |
56% → 40%
|
-16 | $15K | Nov 04, 2026 |
| Full Game: Over 51.5 points scored
K Sports |
39% → 16%
|
-23 | $75K | Nov 01, 2026 |
| Blaise Bicknell wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
80% → 66%
|
-15 | $5K | Nov 13, 2026 |
| Bam Knight: 1+ touchdowns
K Sports |
40% → 20%
|
-19 | $26K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Main Race: Charles Leclerc wins
K Sports · +2 more outcomes moved |
10% → 26%
|
+16 | $26K | Nov 09, 2026 |
| Universitario wins
K Sports |
54% → 68%
|
+14 | $5K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| J.K. Dobbins: 25+ rushing yards
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
46% → 58%
|
+12 | $22K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Delaware St. wins
K Sports |
42% → 54%
|
+11 | $10K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Jordan Mason: 1+ touchdowns
K Sports |
46% → 34%
|
-12 | $12K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Jonathan Taylor's next team before Dec 1, 2026: Minnesota
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
42% → 30%
|
-11 | $23K | Dec 01, 2026 |
| Erzurum wins
K Sports |
31% → 17%
|
-14 | $9K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Perth Wildcats wins
K Sports |
52% → 60%
|
+9 | $5K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Gunnar Helm: 20+ receiving yards
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
46% → 55%
|
+8 | $6K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Dak Prescott: 275+ passing yards
K Sports |
52% → 44%
|
-8 | $11K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Maybank Championship: Miyu Yamashita wins
K Sports |
62% → 72%
|
+10 | $15K | Nov 15, 2026 |
| NC St. wins by over 9.5 points
K Sports · +2 more outcomes moved |
44% → 50%
|
+7 | $7K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Will New York G be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?
K Sports |
40% → 46%
|
+7 | $10K | Jan 25, 2027 |
| Bijan Robinson: 30+ receiving yards
K Sports |
46% → 54%
|
+7 | $9K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Will Cameron Boozer win Rookie of the Year?
K Sports · +3 more outcomes moved |
26% → 34%
|
+8 | $28K | Jul 08, 2027 |
| Zay Flowers: 80+ receiving yards
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
62% → 56%
|
-7 | $7K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.: 1+ touchdowns
K Sports · +3 more outcomes moved |
10% → 20%
|
+10 | $13K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Brighton: 4+ corners
K Sports |
57% → 51%
|
-6 | $20K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Chelsea wins
K Sports · +2 more outcomes moved |
52% → 46%
|
-6 | $693K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Colorado wins by over 1.5 points
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
50% → 56%
|
+6 | $6K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Will over 3.5 goals be scored?
K Sports · +2 more outcomes moved |
48% → 42%
|
-6 | $43K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Matt Kuhar wins
K Sports |
66% → 60%
|
-6 | $7K | Nov 13, 2026 |
| India wins
K Sports |
54% → 60%
|
+6 | $13K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Houston wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
55% → 60%
|
+6 | $19K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Utah St. wins by over 6.5 points
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
52% → 56%
|
+5 | $45K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Bremen wins
K Sports |
34% → 38%
|
+5 | $29K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Elic Ayomanor: 1+ touchdowns
K Sports · +2 more outcomes moved |
12% → 20%
|
+7 | $35K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Michigan wins by over 10.5 points
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
58% → 63%
|
+5 | $42K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Portland wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
74% → 68%
|
-5 | $35K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Will over 2.5 goals be scored?
K Sports |
52% → 48%
|
-4 | $10K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Will Golden State win the 2026 Women's Pro Basketball Championship?
K Sports |
48% → 52%
|
+4 | $37K | Nov 30, 2028 |
| UNLV wins by over 23.5 points
K Sports |
50% → 46%
|
-4 | $325K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Aston Villa wins
K Sports |
50% → 46%
|
-4 | $103K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| New York G wins
K Sports |
52% → 56%
|
+4 | $6K | Nov 10, 2026 |
| Notre Dame wins 1H by over 14.5 points
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
62% → 58%
|
-4 | $6K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Tottenham wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
62% → 58%
|
-4 | $37K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Full Game: Over 55.5 points scored
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
55% → 58%
|
+4 | $5K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Chelsea wins by more than 1.5 goals?
K Sports · +2 more outcomes moved |
30% → 26%
|
-5 | $41K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City score over 1.5 goals?
K Sports |
66% → 62%
|
-4 | $8K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Ted Hurst III: 1+ touchdowns
K Sports · +2 more outcomes moved |
18% → 24%
|
+5 | $37K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Chelsea wins 1st Half
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
40% → 36%
|
-4 | $8K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Keshav Chopra wins
K Sports |
70% → 66%
|
-4 | $6K | Nov 13, 2026 |
| Jonah Coleman: 1+ touchdowns
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
30% → 34%
|
+4 | $30K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals?
K Sports |
38% → 34%
|
-4 | $7K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Team Yandex wins
K Sports |
82% → 88%
|
+6 | $19K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Golden State wins the game by over 1.5 points
K Sports |
46% → 50%
|
+3 | $13K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Chelsea: 6+ corners
K Sports |
48% → 51%
|
+3 | $6K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| SMU wins by over 9.5 points
K Sports · +2 more outcomes moved |
55% → 52%
|
-3 | $38K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Full Game: Over 42.5 points scored
K Sports |
48% → 52%
|
+3 | $11K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Full Game: Over 48.5 points scored
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
52% → 48%
|
-3 | $11K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| NC St. wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
70% → 74%
|
+4 | $6K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Green Bay wins
K Sports |
44% → 46%
|
+3 | $7K | Nov 10, 2026 |
| Full Game: Over 62.5 points scored
K Sports |
50% → 46%
|
-3 | $10K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Southend wins
K Sports |
50% → 54%
|
+3 | $5K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Minnesota wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
22% → 16%
|
-5 | $163K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Will over 3.5 goals be scored?
K Sports |
58% → 56%
|
-3 | $13K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Will the Gukesh Dommaraju win the World Chess Championship?
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
28% → 24%
|
-4 | $6K | Dec 30, 2028 |
| Manchester City wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
60% → 56%
|
-3 | $289K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Leverkusen wins
K Sports |
55% → 57%
|
+3 | $17K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Will Gen.G win League of Legends Worlds?
K Sports |
38% → 42%
|
+3 | $25K | Nov 29, 2026 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 5+ receptions
K Sports |
44% → 42%
|
-3 | $6K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Will over 3.5 goals be scored?
K Sports |
38% → 42%
|
+3 | $5K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Jonah Coleman: 11+ rushing attempts
K Sports |
64% → 61%
|
-3 | $6K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Atlanta wins
K Sports |
58% → 62%
|
+3 | $5K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Atletico wins
K Sports |
60% → 62%
|
+3 | $6K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Guadalajara wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
64% → 68%
|
+3 | $6K | Nov 03, 2026 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win MVP?
K Sports |
26% → 30%
|
+3 | $6K | Jun 30, 2028 |
| Colorado St. wins
K Sports |
32% → 28%
|
-3 | $6K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Auto Parts: Jesse Love wins
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
4% → 9%
|
+5 | $6K | Nov 08, 2026 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
P Sports |
18% → 14%
|
-4 | $58K | Jul 01, 2027 |
| Full Game: Over 46.5 points scored
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
48% → 50%
|
+2 | $9K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| David Picasso wins
K Sports |
81% → 78%
|
-3 | $5K | Nov 14, 2026 |
| Full Game: over 46.5 points scored?
K Sports |
52% → 50%
|
-2 | $10K | Nov 05, 2026 |
| Full Game: Over 53.5 points scored
K Sports |
52% → 50%
|
-2 | $12K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Full Game: Over 45.5 points scored
K Sports |
50% → 52%
|
+2 | $55K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Oklahoma wins by over 3.5 points
K Sports |
50% → 48%
|
-2 | $21K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Full Game: Over 52.5 points scored
K Sports |
46% → 48%
|
+2 | $10K | Nov 02, 2026 |
| Drake Maye: 1+ touchdowns
K Sports · +1 more outcome moved |
24% → 22%
|
-3 | $5K | Nov 03, 2026 |
Showing the top 100 of 154. Raise the minimum move or volume, or pick a category, to see the rest.
About this list
What counts as a swing. The change in a market's YES price since the same time yesterday, in percentage points. Only markets with real trading count: at least the volume you pick (default $5K) in the last 24 hours. A market whose best bid and best ask are more than 10 points apart is left out too, because the price halfway between them is not one anyone traded at.
Live questions only. Markets that have effectively resolved (priced under 8% or over 92%), contracts settling within 36 hours and brand-new listings are left out, so a result being recorded or a first trade doesn't read as a change of mind. Sports are excluded unless you pick the Sports category.
Ranking. "Biggest swings" weighs the size of the move by how much doubt remains, so a 30% → 60% swing outranks a 90% → 99% one. Sort by "Most points" for the raw move.
One line per event. Outcomes in the same event usually move together (every rung of a "Bitcoin above $X" ladder, every candidate in a race), so each event shows its biggest mover and a count of the others. Tick "Show every outcome" to list them all.