What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketWorld

Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

chance of YES26% -27.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

24–52%

24h volume

$484

USDC traded

Open interest

$43.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

António Costa100%—

Donald Tusk100%—

Maia Sandu100%—

Steve Witkoff100%—

Jared Kushner100%—

Keith Kellogg100%—

Friedrich Merz100%—

Andy Burnham100%—

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.