P PolymarketWorld

Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

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Preview
chance of YES3%
Price range (120d)
3–8%
30d +0 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
$208
USDC traded
Open interest
$120.8K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Venezuela14%$228
Lebanon8%$194
Pakistan6%$50
Tunisia6%$50
Iraq5%$90
Indonesia5%$91
Saudi Arabia4%$136
Syria4%$74

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.

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