polymarket Finance

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

September Meeting
Closes Jan 08, 2027 (113d) 24h volume $21.5K Open interest $378.6K Event Fed rate cut by...?
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 10% · Low 0% · 7d -22.2pp · 30d -73.1pp
10%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

December Meeting
5% YES
24h vol $14.7K
October Meeting
3% YES
24h vol $323
July Meeting
0% YES
24h vol —
June Meeting
0% YES
24h vol —
April Meeting
0% YES
24h vol —
January Meeting
0% YES
24h vol —
March Meeting
0% YES
24h vol —

Recent news mentioning this market

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.