AEON Biopharma, Inc.(AEON)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- Industry (SIC)
- PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (2834)
- Exchange
- XASE
- Market Cap
- $0.0B
AEON Biopharma Inc is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of ABP-450 (prabotulinumtoxinA), a biosimilar to Botox (onabotulinumtoxinA), for therapeutic indications. The company is advancing ABP-450 through the biosimilar regulatory pathway and holds development and commercialization rights across multiple international markets.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -23.32% | 3 |
| Feb | -9.88% | 3 |
| Mar | -12.08% | 3 |
| Apr | -26.47% | 3 |
| May | -14.65% | 3 |
| Jun | -1.83% | 3 |
| Jul | -6.16% | 4 |
| Aug | -19.39% | 4 |
| Sep | +10.80% | 4 |
| Oct | -4.00% | 3 |
| Nov | -10.92% | 3 |
| Dec | +20.59% | 3 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
SYMBOL: AEON
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (confidence level 6/10)
Key Drivers: Recent debt swap agreement with Daewoong, positive earnings trend, low volatility
Primary Risks: Potential for further market volatility, limited options activity data available
Investment Thesis: AEON's recent debt swap agreement with Daewoong may have stabilized the company's financial situation, while its positive earnings trend and low volatility make it an attractive investment opportunity. However, the lack of options activity data and potential market volatility remain concerns.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The sentiment surrounding the debt swap agreement is mixed, with two positive headlines and one negative headline. This ambiguity may have contributed to AEON's neutral technical signals.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Medium-term (1-3 months) downtrend, short-term (1-4 weeks) consolidation
Support/Resistance Levels:
- SMA 20: $0.81 (support)
- SMA 50: $0.92 (resistance)
- Upper Bollinger Band: $0.95 (resistance)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI (14): 52.98 (neutral, indicating no clear buy or sell signal)
- MACD: -0.03 / Signal: 0.01 / Histogram: -0.04 (bearish momentum signal)
Volume Analysis: Volume SMA 20 is trending upwards, suggesting increasing institutional interest.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: AEON's debt swap agreement with Daewoong has been a dominant theme in recent news headlines, with mixed sentiment and no clear consensus on its impact.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate news sentiment is NEUTRAL (50% positive, 25% negative, 25% neutral).
Catalyst Identification: Upcoming earnings release date: 2025-08-12
Market Narrative: The recent debt swap agreement may have stabilized AEON's financial situation, but the company's technical signals remain neutral. The market is likely waiting for further guidance from upcoming earnings.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Low risk relative to market (beta 0.29), indicating low volatility.
Volatility Regime: Current vs historical volatility levels: relatively low volatility.
Options Market Signals: No options data available, making it difficult to assess potential for price movements.
Downside Protection: SMA 20 provides support at $0.81, with the lower Bollinger Band offering additional protection at $0.68.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: AEON's sector (Healthcare) is performing relatively well, with a slight decline in recent weeks.
Institutional Activity: Volume SMA 20 indicates increasing institutional interest.
Correlation Analysis: AEON's correlation with the market (SPY) is low at 0.03, suggesting minimal dependence on market movements.
Relative Valuation: AEON's current price is trading within a relatively narrow range, making it difficult to assess its relative valuation.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 20: $0.81 (support)
- Upper Bollinger Band: $0.95 (resistance)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: SMA 50 at $0.92 may act as resistance, while the lower Bollinger Band at $0.68 may provide support.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Upcoming earnings release date: 2025-08-12
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels should be set at $0.68 to protect against potential downside risks, with position sizing considerations based on individual risk tolerance.
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.11
- Correlation (SPY)
- 1.3%
- R²
- 0.00
- Ann. Volatility
- 110.3%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | TIMOTHY P LYNCH | 10%+ Owner | Buy (P) | +1,150,000 | $0.21 | $243.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-22 | Shelley B Thunen | Director | Award (A) | +222,684 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | JOST FISCHER | Director | Award (A) | +222,684 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | ROBERT J PALMISANO | Director | Award (A) | +222,684 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | Marc Forth | Director | Award (A) | +222,684 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | Eric G Carter | Director | Award (A) | +222,684 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-04-03 | John Bencich | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Award (A) | +754,717 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-11 | Chad Oh | CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER | Award (A) | +2,179,372 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-05 | Alexander Blair Wilson | CLO, CSO, and Corp Secretary | Award (A) | +2,179,372 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-05 | Jennifer Sy | PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER | Award (A) | +1,500,925 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-02-19 | Robert E. Bancroft | PRESIDENT & CEO | Award (A) | +3,000,000 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-05-23 | ROBERT J PALMISANO | Director | Grant (A) | +308,641 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-05-23 | JOST FISCHER | Director | Buy (P) | +60,000 | $0.49 | $29.2K | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-23 | Marc Forth | Director | Grant (A) | +370,370 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2025-05-23 | Shelley B Thunen | Director | Grant (A) | +308,641 RSU | — | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TIMOTHY P LYNCH | 10%+ Owner | 6,500,000 | $1.71M | $243.5K | 1 | 2026-08-21 |
| 2 | Robert E. Bancroft | PRESIDENT & CEO | 3,177,103 | $837.5K | $0 | 3 | 2026-02-19 |
| 3 | Alexander Blair Wilson | CLO, CSO, and Corp Secretary | 2,183,005 | $575.4K | $0 | 3 | 2026-03-05 |
| 4 | Marc Forth | CHIEF EXECTUIVE OFFICER | 973,231 | $256.5K | $0 | 3 | 2026-06-22 |
| 5 | Chad Oh | CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER | 866,564 | $228.4K | $0 | 3 | 2026-03-11 |
| 6 | John Bencich | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | 754,717 | $198.9K | $0 | 1 | 2026-04-03 |
| 7 | Jennifer Sy | PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER | 575,251 | $151.6K | $0 | 3 | 2026-03-05 |
| 8 | JOST FISCHER | Director | 489,469 | $129.0K | $84.5K | 5 | 2026-06-22 |
| 9 | ROBERT J PALMISANO | Director | 290,163 | $76.5K | $0 | 4 | 2026-06-22 |
| 10 | Shelley B Thunen | Director | 258,705 | $68.2K | $0 | 3 | 2026-06-22 |
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-29 | Oleg Grodnensky | Affiliate | 201,825 | $530.8K | 2024-07-29 | J.P. Morgan Securities LLC | — | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.