ARKB · Expected Move

ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF · ETF

The expected move for ARKB is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

ARKB straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current ARKB Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.35
7-Day Straddle
$2.35
30-Day ATM IV
36.8%
IV Rank
42%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to ARKB's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
ARKB Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $2.35 $2.35 36.8% 42%
20261020 $2.62 $2.62 39.7% 60%
20261019 $2.23 $2.23 35.3% 29%
20261016 $2.53 $0.45 38.0% 31%
20261015 $2.65 $1.00 38.8% 35%
20261014 $2.70 $0.75 38.9% 35%
20261013 $2.55 $0.95 36.8% 27%
20261012 $2.73 $1.10 37.1% 28%
20261009 $2.92 $1.05 38.1% 32%
20261008 $3.02 $1.15 40.3% 40%
20261007 $2.80 $1.20 36.1% 24%
20261006 $3.15 $1.30 37.8% 31%
20261005 $2.88 $1.35 38.9% 35%
20261002 $1.67 $1.67 36.2% 24%
20261001 $1.70 $1.70 37.3% 29%
20260930 $1.48 $1.48 36.3% 25%
20260929 $1.72 $1.72 37.7% 30%
20260928 $1.88 $1.88 36.4% 25%
20260925 $1.90 $1.90 37.8% 31%
20260924 $1.85 $1.85 36.6% 26%
20260923 $2.08 $2.08 38.4% 33%
20260922 $2.25 $2.25 38.7% 34%
20260921 $2.50 $2.50 39.9% 39%
20260918 $2.22 $0.17 36.6% 26%
20260917 $1.68 $0.55 29.9% 0%
20260916 $2.48 $0.80 42.6% 46%
20260915 $2.42 $1.12 40.2% 36%
20260914 $2.25 $1.45 37.0% 23%
20260911 $2.53 $0.98 38.4% 28%
20260910 $2.55 $1.20 39.0% 31%
20260909 $2.67 $1.07 40.3% 36%
20260908 $2.62 $1.30 39.3% 32%
20260904 $2.85 $1.57 39.1% 31%
20260903 $2.75 $1.68 37.7% 26%
20260902 $1.45 $1.45 34.2% 11%
20260901 $1.65 $1.65 38.7% 30%
20260831 $1.65 $1.65 36.1% 19%
20260828 $1.85 $1.85 39.2% 32%
20260827 $2.15 $2.15 40.3% 36%
20260826 $2.00 $2.00 38.9% 30%
20260825 $2.30 $2.30 43.1% 48%
20260824 $2.00 $2.00 38.9% 30%
20260821 $2.42 $0.77 42.0% 43%
20260820 $2.12 $0.47 39.6% 33%
20260819 $1.83 $0.78 34.9% 14%
20260818 $1.73 $3.05 33.4% 8%
20260817 $1.80 $0.60 35.0% 14%
20260814 $1.65 $0.65 32.4% 4%
20260813 $1.88 $0.80 35.5% 16%
20260812 $1.80 $0.73 33.4% 8%
20260811 $2.00 $1.00 36.5% 21%
20260810 $2.10 $1.00 36.6% 21%
20260807 — — 31.5% 0%
20260806 $2.05 $1.20 35.8% 12%
20260805 $1.12 $1.12 33.4% 1%
20260804 $1.15 $1.15 — —
20260803 $1.40 $1.40 36.9% 16%
20260731 $1.45 $1.45 37.4% 19%
20260730 $1.43 $1.43 35.1% 9%
20260729 $1.80 $1.80 40.3% 32%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.