BTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF)
Expected Move & Straddle Price History
The expected move for BTC is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
Current BTC Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.42
7-Day Straddle
$3.42
Avg IV
1.2%
IV Rank
100%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to BTC's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
BTC Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | Avg IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20260302 | $3.42 | $3.42 | 1.2% | 100% |
| 20260227 | $2.80 | $2.80 | 1.2% | 100% |
| 20260226 | $2.77 | $2.77 | 1.2% | 100% |
| 20260225 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 1.1% | 90% |
| 20260224 | $3.03 | $3.03 | 1.2% | 100% |
| 20260223 | $3.35 | $3.35 | 1.2% | 100% |
| 20260221 | $3.28 | $3.28 | 1.1% | 93% |
| 20260220 | $3.28 | $0.20 | 1.1% | 91% |
| 20260219 | $3.42 | $0.93 | 1.2% | 100% |
| 20260218 | $3.47 | $1.27 | 0.9% | 68% |
| 20260217 | $3.65 | $1.10 | 1.0% | 91% |
| 20260213 | $3.95 | $1.93 | 0.9% | 70% |
| 20260212 | $4.05 | $2.17 | 1.0% | 90% |
| 20260211 | $4.30 | $2.08 | 1.0% | 94% |
| 20260210 | $4.28 | $2.40 | 0.9% | 81% |
| 20260209 | $4.45 | $2.47 | 1.0% | 83% |
| 20260206 | $4.92 | $3.05 | 0.9% | 69% |
| 20260205 | $6.08 | $4.45 | 1.1% | 100% |
| 20260204 | $3.08 | $3.08 | 0.7% | 48% |
| 20260203 | $3.02 | $3.02 | 0.7% | 52% |
| 20260202 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 0.6% | 32% |
| 20260130 | $2.98 | $2.98 | 0.5% | 22% |
| 20260129 | $3.20 | $3.20 | 0.6% | 26% |
| 20260128 | $2.92 | $2.92 | 0.5% | 20% |
| 20260127 | $2.73 | $2.73 | 0.5% | 22% |
| 20260126 | $3.08 | $3.08 | 0.4% | 5% |
| 20260123 | $3.02 | $3.02 | 0.5% | 13% |
| 20260122 | $3.55 | $3.55 | 0.5% | 12% |
| 20260121 | $3.35 | $3.35 | 0.4% | 9% |
| 20260120 | $3.75 | $3.75 | 0.5% | 16% |
| 20260116 | $3.78 | $0.62 | 0.5% | 13% |
| 20260115 | $4.43 | $0.70 | 0.5% | 17% |
| 20260114 | $4.62 | $1.15 | 0.4% | 10% |
| 20260113 | $4.20 | $1.08 | 0.4% | 7% |
| 20260112 | $4.05 | $1.35 | 0.4% | 0% |
| 20260109 | $3.92 | $1.73 | 0.5% | 7% |
| 20260108 | $4.75 | $1.88 | 0.4% | 0% |
| 20260107 | $5.25 | $1.90 | 0.5% | 10% |
| 20260106 | $4.97 | $2.58 | 0.5% | 13% |
| 20260105 | $4.72 | $1.95 | 0.4% | 0% |
| 20260102 | $2.45 | $2.45 | 1.1% | 100% |
| 20251231 | $2.45 | $2.45 | 1.0% | 91% |
| 20251230 | $2.17 | $2.17 | 0.9% | 85% |
| 20251229 | $2.72 | $2.72 | 0.9% | 87% |
| 20251226 | $3.03 | $3.03 | 0.9% | 75% |
| 20251224 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 0.9% | 75% |
| 20251223 | $3.17 | $3.17 | 0.8% | 61% |
| 20251222 | $3.45 | $3.45 | 0.8% | 61% |
| 20251219 | $3.95 | $0.23 | 0.8% | 61% |
| 20251218 | $4.20 | $1.20 | 0.7% | 39% |
| 20251217 | $4.62 | $1.50 | 0.9% | 72% |
| 20251216 | $3.10 | $1.00 | 0.7% | 52% |
| 20251215 | $3.73 | $1.77 | 0.8% | 59% |
| 20251212 | $4.00 | $1.73 | 0.7% | 49% |
| 20251211 | $4.57 | $2.03 | 0.8% | 61% |
| 20251210 | $4.30 | $2.35 | 0.7% | 42% |
| 20251209 | $5.35 | $2.30 | 0.7% | 38% |
| 20251208 | $5.08 | $2.98 | 0.7% | 41% |
| 20251205 | $5.33 | $3.08 | 0.7% | 38% |
| 20251204 | $4.88 | $2.97 | 0.7% | 44% |