CERT · Expected Move

Certara, Inc. Common Stock

The expected move for CERT is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

CERT straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current CERT Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.23
7-Day Straddle
$3.10
30-Day ATM IV
—
IV Rank
—
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to CERT's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
CERT Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261109 $2.23 $3.10 — —
20261106 $4.15 $2.95 122.0% 16%
20261105 $5.00 $3.52 120.5% 16%
20261104 $1.52 $1.52 109.1% 12%
20261103 $3.33 $3.33 170.6% 30%
20261102 $2.38 $2.38 92.2% 7%
20261030 $1.80 $1.80 133.7% 19%
20261029 $2.42 $2.42 112.5% 13%
20261028 $2.85 $2.85 127.0% 17%
20261027 $2.00 $2.00 91.8% 7%
20261026 $1.80 $1.80 81.5% 3%
20261023 $2.00 $2.00 78.4% 2%
20261022 $2.02 $2.02 79.1% 3%
20261021 $3.40 $3.40 142.3% 16%
20261020 $3.45 $3.45 — —
20261019 $3.55 $3.55 101.9% 7%
20261016 $3.35 $2.05 113.0% 10%
20261015 $3.05 $2.60 108.7% 9%
20261014 $3.17 $2.93 120.4% 11%
20261013 $3.18 $2.60 — —
20261012 $1.48 $2.98 74.7% 2%
20261009 $3.25 $3.10 95.2% 6%
20261008 $2.30 $10.05 — —
20261007 $3.22 $2.95 106.6% 8%
20261006 $3.12 $2.78 107.1% 8%
20261005 $3.50 $3.12 — —
20261002 $2.60 $2.60 — —
20261001 $2.68 $2.68 — —
20260930 $2.65 $2.65 — —
20260929 $2.55 $2.55 66.4% 0%
20260928 $2.70 $2.70 69.0% 0%
20260925 $2.78 $2.78 — —
20260924 $2.53 $2.53 70.4% 0%
20260923 $2.88 $2.88 — —
20260922 $2.70 $2.70 68.9% 0%
20260921 $2.78 $2.78 118.6% 11%
20260918 $2.78 $2.52 — —
20260917 $3.75 $4.95 — —
20260916 $3.48 $3.77 — —
20260915 $3.48 $3.65 — —
20260914 $2.88 $2.98 — —
20260911 $4.90 $2.83 282.0% 45%
20260910 $3.20 $2.62 — —
20260909 $3.95 $2.95 — —
20260908 $1.05 $2.25 — —
20260904 $2.17 $3.68 — —
20260903 $3.95 $3.73 — —
20260902 $1.83 $1.83 — —
20260901 $1.15 $1.15 89.2% 5%
20260831 $3.93 $3.93 — —
20260828 $3.68 $3.68 73.9% 2%
20260827 $9.03 $9.03 114.6% 10%
20260826 $2.35 $2.35 106.5% 8%
20260825 $3.12 $3.12 — —
20260824 $1.52 $1.52 76.5% 2%
20260821 $1.82 $1.82 89.4% 5%
20260820 $3.68 $1.97 — —
20260819 $4.97 $3.38 161.1% 20%
20260818 $3.70 $3.05 — —
20260817 $1.88 $2.35 82.6% 4%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.