CONX Direxion Daily COIN Bull 2X ETF
ETFETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Fibonacci levels
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Direxion Daily COIN Bull 2X ETF (CONX) ETF
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Inception
- 2025-11-18
- Has Options
- Yes
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | 2026-09-29 | $0.0323 | CD |
| 2026-06-23 | 2026-06-30 | $0.0317 | CD |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $0.0689 | CD |
| 2025-12-23 | 2025-12-31 | $0.0739 | CD |
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Asset Class | Country |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | COIN SWAP ASSET LEG | 111.01% | Derivative | — |
| — | COIN SWAP ASSET LEG | 71.06% | Derivative | — |
| — | GOLDMAN FINL SQ TRSRY INST 506 | 49.94% | Derivative | US |
| — | DREYFUS GOVT CASH MAN INS | 20.82% | Derivative | — |
| — | GOLDMAN SACHS FIN GOV 465 INSTITUT | 19.99% | Derivative | — |
| COIN | COINBASE GLOBAL INC -CLASS A | 15.77% | Equity (US) | US |
| — | COIN SWAP ASSET LEG | 1.84% | Derivative | — |
| — | COIN SWAP ASSET LEG | 0.32% | Derivative | — |
| Category | Weight | Value | Positions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term investment | 150.32% | $2.9M | 4 |
| Derivative (equity) | -58.70% | $-1115869 | 4 |
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -31.32% | 1 |
| Feb | -21.79% | 1 |
| Mar | -4.13% | 1 |
| Apr | +5.53% | 1 |
| May | -6.40% | 1 |
| Jun | -37.23% | 1 |
| Jul | -6.38% | 1 |
| Aug | +61.70% | 1 |
| Sep | -1.41% | 1 |
| Oct | -3.46% | 1 |
| Nov | +5.73% | 1 |
| Dec | -31.81% | 1 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
SYMBOL: CONX
Executive Summary: BULLISH (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key drivers:
- Technical signals indicate a potential reversal from oversold levels
- News sentiment is neutral, with no recent news available
- Risk metrics suggest high volatility, but options activity indicates low IV rank and neutral sentiment
Primary risks:
- High beta (5.43) increases the stock's price sensitivity to market movements
- Volatility remains elevated, which may lead to whipsaws or increased risk
Investment thesis: CONX has entered a consolidation phase, with technical signals indicating a potential reversal from oversold levels. The stock's high volatility and beta make it more sensitive to market moves, but the options market suggests a neutral sentiment.
Recent news sentiment impact: No recent news available.
Technical Analysis:
- Trend Direction: Short-term: BEARISH (price below SMA 20), Medium-term: NEUTRAL (price stuck in range), Long-term: BULLISH (long-term trend)
- Support/Resistance Levels: Lower band: $4.64, Middle band: $5.90, Upper band: $7.17
- Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (39.16) - no sell signal
- MACD signal: Bearish (Histogram at -0.29)
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze (price within range)
- Volume Analysis: Volume SMA 20: 97354.45, On-Balance Volume (OBV): -1148662.14, Volume Rate of Change: 11.15%
News & Sentiment Analysis:
- Recent Headlines Summary: No recent news available
- Sentiment Assessment: Neutral sentiment with no recent news
- Catalyst Identification: None
- Market Narrative: The lack of recent news and neutral options market sentiment suggest a lack of catalysts driving the stock's price movement.
Risk & Volatility Assessment:
- Beta Interpretation: High risk (beta >1.2)
- Volatility Regime: Elevated volatility
- Options Market Signals: IV rank: 0.0% (Low), Put/Call volume ratio: 0.00 (Neutral sentiment)
- Downside Protection: Support levels: $4.64, Lower band: $4.64
Market Context & Positioning:
- Sector Performance: Not applicable (CONX is a standalone stock)
- Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggest institutional interest
- Correlation Analysis: Correlation with market (R-squared interpretation): 0.51
- Relative Valuation: Price within trading range
Key Levels & Action Items:
- Critical Price Levels: Support level: $4.64, Resistance level: $7.17
- Breakout/Breakdown Levels: None
- Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings dates: N/A (no earnings data available)
- Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations
Additional Comments:
- The stock's high beta and volatility make it more sensitive to market movements, which may lead to increased risk.
- The lack of recent news and neutral options market sentiment suggest a lack of catalysts driving the stock's price movement.
This comprehensive analysis provides an objective assessment of CONX's technical, fundamental, and market factors. It highlights key drivers, primary risks, and potential areas for improvement, allowing investors to make informed decisions about their investment strategy.
- IV Rank (30D)
- 0
- IV Rank (7D)
- 0
- Avg IV
- 0.0%
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 5.53
- Correlation (SPY)
- 48.5%
- R²
- 0.24
- Ann. Volatility
- 146.4%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.9%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
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