EVLVW Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. Warrant
XNASStock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- Industry (SIC)
- COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC (3577)
- Exchange
- XNAS
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc is a security technology company pioneering Artificial Intelligence (AI)-powered screening solutions designed to help create safer environments while maintaining efficient visitor flow and a positive visitor experience. It serves customers across a range of end markets, including education, healthcare, sports, live entertainment, tourist attractions, houses of worship, and industrial workplaces. The company operates in a single segment that develops, manufactures, markets, and sells security screening products and specific services. Its products are used in diff…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -14.82% | 5 |
| Feb | -7.91% | 5 |
| Mar | +19.46% | 5 |
| Apr | +29.73% | 5 |
| May | +38.55% | 5 |
| Jun | -16.29% | 5 |
| Jul | +23.95% | 6 |
| Aug | +9.82% | 5 |
| Sep | -11.90% | 5 |
| Oct | -26.50% | 5 |
| Nov | -3.39% | 5 |
| Dec | -12.44% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: EVLVW
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 8/10)
Key Drivers:
- Bearish MACD signal
- Oversold RSI reading
- Weak trend indicators (ADX/DMI)
- High volatility, indicating potential for significant price movements
Primary Risks:
- Overbought Bollinger Bands
- Weakening technical momentum
- Potential for increased selling pressure due to negative news sentiment
Investment Thesis: EVOLVW's recent price decline is driven by bearish technical signals and negative news sentiment. However, the stock's high volatility and oversold RSI reading indicate potential for a rebound or correction. Caution should be exercised given the bearish MACD signal and weak trend indicators.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The majority of recent news headlines are NEGATIVE (4 out of 6), contributing to the overall bearish sentiment.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term: BEARISH, Medium-term: NEUTRAL, Long-term: NEUTRAL
Support/Resistance Levels: Key price levels include $0.01 (current price), $0.03 (Bollinger Band lower), and $0.11 (SMA 50).
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Oversold (<30)
- MACD signal: Bearish (-0.02 / -0.00 / -0.01 histogram)
- Bollinger Bands position: Oversold
Volume Analysis: Volume trends indicate a decrease in buying interest, while institutional interest signals suggest caution.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Four out of six recent news headlines are NEGATIVE, indicating a bearish tone.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate sentiment is NEGATIVE due to the majority of negative news headlines.
Catalyst Identification: No specific catalysts identified in recent news; however, investors may be concerned about the company's CEO selling shares to cover taxes and the potential for increased regulatory scrutiny.
Market Narrative: The market narrative suggests a bearish tone, with many investors rotating out of big tech into smaller-cap stocks like EVOLVW.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk (beta >1.5) due to the stock's volatility and inverse correlation with the broader market.
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is higher than historical levels, indicating potential for significant price movements.
Options Market Signals: No options data available; however, IV premium vs HV30 suggests that implied volatility may be richer than realized.
Downside Protection: Support levels include $0.01 (current price) and $0.03 (Bollinger Band lower).
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: EVOLVW is outperforming its sector peers, indicating potential for further growth.
Institutional Activity: Institutional interest signals suggest caution due to the company's recent share sales and negative news sentiment.
Correlation Analysis: The stock moves inversely with the broader market (R-squared interpretation).
Relative Valuation: EVOLVW is relatively undervalued within its trading range, indicating potential for a rebound or correction.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels: Support levels include $0.01 and $0.03; resistance level is at $0.11 (SMA 50).
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Breakout above $0.11 could signal a reversal, while breakdown below $0.01 could indicate further declines.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No specific catalysts identified in recent news; however, investors may be concerned about the company's CEO selling shares to cover taxes and the potential for increased regulatory scrutiny.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels should be set at $0.005 to manage risk, with position sizing considerations given the stock's high volatility.
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 1.86
- Correlation (SPY)
- 5.7%
- R²
- 0.00
- Ann. Volatility
- 431.1%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.1%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $1.84M | 41.40% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $1.42M | 31.92% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $1.18M | 26.43% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA /FI/ Custodian | $10.44K | 0.23% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian | $544 | 0.01% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $848.54K | 73.26% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $158.92K | 13.72% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $150.80K | 13.02% | 2026-06-30 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Michael Ellenbogen | Director | Grant (A) | +28,318 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | Neil Glat | Director | Exer (M) | +27,050 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | Kevin M. Charlton | Director | Exer (M) | +27,050 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | Gonzales David Mounts | Director | Exer (M) | +27,050 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | Richard A Shapiro | Director | Exer (M) | +27,050 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | Henrik Kuhl | Director | Exer (M) | +9,291 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | Mark J. Sullivan | Director | Exer (M) | +27,050 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-22 | Kimberly H. Sheehy | Director | Exer (M) | +27,050 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-16 | Michael Ellenbogen | Director | Mixed | — | $3.23 | -$482.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-03 | Robert E Marshall | Chief Revenue Officer | Mixed | +74,296 | $6.85 | -$425.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | Michael Ellenbogen | Director | Mixed | — | $2.93 | -$435.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-05 | George C Kutsor | Chief Financial Officer | Mixed | +87,440 | $7.27 | -$374.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-17 | Michael Ellenbogen | Director | Mixed | — | $3.28 | -$490.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-09 | Michael Ellenbogen | Director | Sell (S) | −91,771 | $5.10 | -$468.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-04 | Robert E Marshall | Chief Revenue Officer | Grant (A) | +186,915 RSU | — | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gates Frontier, LLC | 10%+ Owner | 18,659,796 | $78.4K | $0 | 1 | 2022-08-17 |
| 2 | WILLIAM H GATES III | 10%+ Owner | 17,965,332 | $75.5K | -$23.89M | 1 | 2025-09-12 |
| 3 | Michael Ellenbogen | Director | 2,235,096 | $9.4K | -$11.39M | 42 | 2026-06-22 |
| 4 | Anil Chitkara | Founder & Chief Growth Officer | 1,374,443 | $5.8K | -$4.34M | 18 | 2026-03-03 |
| 5 | Peter Gustav George | President & CEO | 936,508 | $3.9K | -$614.8K | 12 | 2024-03-06 |
| 6 | ALAN S COHEN | Director | 807,226 | $3.4K | $0 | 5 | 2023-05-19 |
| 7 | Mark Donohue | Chief Financial Officer | 467,827 | $2.0K | -$1.58M | 9 | 2024-06-04 |
| 8 | Kevin M. Charlton | Director | 403,091 | $1.7K | $514.1K | 15 | 2026-06-22 |
| 9 | Neil Glat | Director | 243,600 | $1.0K | $25.0K | 10 | 2026-06-22 |
| 10 | Mark J. Sullivan | Director | 242,628 | $1.0K | $0 | 19 | 2026-06-22 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.