FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
XNYS
231.61
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
FERG
$231.61
—
Key stats
$231.61
- 52-Week Range
- $212.13 – $271.64
- YTD
- +2.93%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 57.96
- Straddle Price
- $21.40
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 2.59
- Market Cap
- $44.3B
- Open
- $229.88
- Day Range
- $229.49 – $235.00
- Volume
- 2,143,961
- Prev Close
- $228.76
Fair Value
MODEL: LONG
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.21% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.95 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.95% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.58% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +36.0pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 24.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -2.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $1.6B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 37.9% |
| Book / Price | 13.0% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 31.1% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 5.3% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.68 |
| Quality Score | 2/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +14.9% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $228.95 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $221.38 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 2.9% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $3.2B |
| Market Cap | $45B |
Peers used for multiples: AWK, ECL, IDXX, PNR, ROP, VLTO, WAT, XYL
60-Day Conviction
72%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 16, 2026
$235.58
α +1.7%
rank 11%
conviction
84%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 15, 2026
$237.11
α +2.4%
rank 13%
conviction
69%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 13, 2027
$236.74
α +2.2%
rank 10%
conviction
72%
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $76.21 | 19% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $29.31 | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | $229.17 | 9% | median 24.2× · 8 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $269.02 | 9% | median 17.8× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | $75.99 | 2% | median 2.6× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $719.19 | 6% | median 4.6× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $228.95 | 38% | stability 100% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $228.68 | 19% | 33 strikes · skew -0.35 |
As of 2026-10-16 · updated
Related
About
- Industry (SIC)
- WHOLESALE-HARDWARE & PLUMBING & HEATING EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES (5070) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $44.3B
- Employees
- 36,000
- List Date
- 2010-12-02
- CIK
- 0002011641
- Headquarters
- Newport News, VA
- Homepage
- https://www.ferguson.com
Ferguson distributes plumbing and HVAC products to North American repair, maintenance, and improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure markets. It serves over 1 million customers and sources products from 37,000 suppliers. Ferguson engages customers through approximately 1,700 North American branches, over the phone, online, and in residential showrooms. The firm sold its UK business in 2021 and is now solely focused on the North American market.
Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | -12.41% | 10.68% | -0.40% | 4.46% | 12.19% | 2.90% |
| Feb | -- | -4.40% | -0.21% | 10.31% | -3.49% | 2.28% | 0.90% |
| Mar | 0.54% | -11.11% | -7.54% | 1.87% | -7.66% | -9.29% | -5.53% |
| Apr | 1.80% | -6.81% | 6.04% | -3.40% | 5.54% | 11.98% | 2.52% |
| May | 5.41% | -3.99% | 2.03% | -2.69% | 7.45% | -14.49% | -1.05% |
| Jun | 2.18% | -6.38% | 8.05% | -4.55% | 20.78% | 5.77% | 4.31% |
| Jul | 0.09% | 14.76% | 2.79% | 17.18% | 1.10% | 1.54% | 6.24% |
| Aug | 3.53% | -7.70% | -0.40% | -4.91% | 4.05% | -10.22% | -2.61% |
| Sep | -4.33% | -10.88% | 1.38% | -1.87% | -2.22% | 1.69% | -2.71% |
| Oct | 8.93% | 1.03% | -8.05% | -1.39% | 10.20% | 4.57%* | 2.55% |
| Nov | -0.46% | 6.48% | 11.56% | 9.07% | 1.66% | -- | 5.66% |
| Dec | 16.92% | 7.32% | 11.98% | -18.93% | -11.49% | -- | 1.16% |
| Total | 38.55% | -32.05% | 42.33% | -4.26% | 30.05% | 2.19% | 12.80% |
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $222.24
SMA 50: $228.51
SMA 200: $237.57
Current: $231.61
EMA 12: $223.78
EMA 26: $223.67
MACD: 0.1175 | Signal: 1.5071
BEARISH
ADX (14): 14.12
RANGE
+DI: 31.48
−DI: 23.36
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 61.78
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 81.36
Stoch %D: 71.59
Williams %R: -15.06
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $229.94
BB Lower: $214.54
OVERBOUGHT
OBV: 49,164,974
Vol SMA 20: 1,431,944
Vol ROC: 16.41%
ATR: $5.73
True Range: $6.24
HV 20: 22.7%
HV 30: 23.2%
HV 60: 29.5%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-10-18T00:00:00 – 2026-10-16T00:00:00
AI Analysis
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
This report assesses Ferguson (FERG) stock based on technical indicators, options metrics, beta analysis, market data, and recent news headlines. Our overall assessment is NEUTRAL with a confidence level of 6/10.
Key drivers include:
- Bullish MACD signal
- Neutral RSI reading
- Weak trend strength in ADX/DMI
Primary risks are:
- High volatility (beta 1.20)
- Negative recent news sentiment (average sentiment: NEGATIVE)
2-3 sentence investment thesis: FERG's technical signals suggest a potential consolidation phase, while options data indicates market expectation for an $18.00 move by expiration. Recent news headlines have been mixed, but overall sentiment is slightly bearish.
Recent news sentiment impact: The negative recent news headline about weak US housing demand has tempered the bullish momentum, contributing to our neutral assessment.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks): Consolidation phase; Medium-term (1-3 months): Uptrend; Long-term (3-12 months): Bullish trend
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $263.80
- Middle Bollinger Band: $239.99
- Lower Bollinger Band: $216.18
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (53.55)
- MACD signal: Bullish momentum (5.07 / 0.61 / 4.45)
- Bollinger Bands position: Neutral
Volume Analysis: Volume trend is down (-38.45%), with institutional interest signals indicating a potential sell signal.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Mixed news sentiment, with a slight bias towards negative headlines (average sentiment: NEGATIVE)
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate news sentiment is slightly bearish due to the recent weak housing demand report.
Catalyst Identification: None significant in near-term horizon; medium-term catalysts may include earnings and product launches.
Market Narrative: Recent news has tempered the bullish momentum, aligning with our neutral assessment.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk (beta 1.20) relative to market (SPY).
Volatility Regime: Above average volatility (0.32).
Options Market Signals:
- IV Rank: Low (0.0%)
- Put/Call Volume Ratio: 0.05 (Bullish sentiment)
- Market Expectation: Options market pricing $18.00 move by expiration
Downside Protection: Support levels are present at the lower Bollinger Band ($216.18).
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: FERG's sector (industrial) has performed relatively well.
Institutional Activity: Institutional interest signals indicate a potential sell signal.
Correlation Analysis: Correlation with SPY is high (0.49), indicating a strong market amplification effect.
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range, but slightly above the middle Bollinger Band ($239.99).
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $263.80
- Middle Bollinger Band: $239.99
- Lower Bollinger Band: $216.18
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: None significant in near-term horizon; medium-term catalysts may include earnings and product launches.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings dates, FDA approvals, and product launches are not immediately forthcoming.
Risk Management: Consider stop-loss levels at the lower Bollinger Band ($216.18) or implement a position sizing strategy to manage risk.
Please note that this report provides an objective analysis framework for LLM Stock Analysis.
Generated
News
All FERG news →
A Federal Aviation Administration review board says a software issue in certain Boeing 737 Max flight computers “is not a safety concern." Boeing shares rose on the news. George Ferguson of Bloomberg Intelligence has more. (Source: Bloomberg)
Check out two appealing player props from Sunday Night Football. A young tight end and a running back have yardage overs that both should hit.
Earnings History
7 of 9 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
7.70%
Avg Actual Move
7.10%
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-17 | Pre-Market | 6.72% | 4.99% | 0.74x | Within |
| 2024-12-10 | Pre-Market | 6.09% | 10.47% | 1.72x | Exceeded |
| 2025-03-11 | Pre-Market | 7.76% | 5.18% | 0.67x | Within |
| 2025-06-03 | Pre-Market | 6.26% | 17.23% | 2.75x | Exceeded |
| 2025-09-16 | Pre-Market | 8.41% | 7.93% | 0.94x | Within |
| 2025-12-09 | Pre-Market | 9.07% | 8.05% | 0.89x | Within |
| 2026-02-24 | Pre-Market | 9.43% | 4.19% | 0.44x | Within |
| 2026-05-05 | Pre-Market | 7.34% | 3.06% | 0.42x | Within |
| 2026-08-10 | Pre-Market | 8.18% | 2.76% | 0.34x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
FERG Options Activity & IV Rank
FERG IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Current IV: 37.2%
7-DTE IV: —
Expected Move: $21.40
7-DTE Move: $2.58
Days to Exp: 35 (2026-11-20)
Options Flow
Call Volume: 74
Put Volume: 192
P/C Volume: 2.595
BEARISH
Call OI: 2,132
Put OI: 1,782
P/C OI: 0.836
Total OI: 3,914
ATM Options Pricing
ATM Call: $11.50
ATM Put: $9.90
Call %: 5.0%
Put %: 4.3%
Chain Summary
Chain Volume: 922
Chain OI: 8,597
Last Updated: 10/16/2026
Spread Scanner GPU
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 41st percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Gamma percentile
41%
vs own history
GEX tilt
-0.01
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.85
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.87
δ-decay vs time
Vanna tilt +0.85: the estimated dealer exposure leans positive, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably if implied volatility changed.
Charm tilt -0.87: the estimated dealer exposure leans negative, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably as time passes and options approach expiry.
? What is this?
· 33 ATM contracts, 4k total OI
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
No data
30 DTE / 10d
34%
+6.8
pts
EXTREME
ATM 37.4% / Wing 44.2%
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Volatility Smile
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)58.0MediumOct 16
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$21.40Oct 16
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: 1.1642
Alpha: -15.12%
Correlation: 0.4982
R-Squared: 24.8%
Stock Volatility: 29.8%
Market Volatility: 12.7%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification
Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own FERG
8 of 37 tracked investors
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baupost Group Hedge fund Seth Klarman | $344.3M | #5 of 23 | +0.6% | 13F | |
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $248.3M | #94 of 3716 | -16.2% | 13F | |
| Point72 Hedge fund Steve Cohen | $84.7M | #206 of 1945 | +76.4% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $59.9M | #601 of 6285 | -42.5% | 13F | |
| Markel Group Holding company Tom Gayner | $42.8M | #60 of 130 | +5.6% | 13F | |
| Bridgewater Associates Hedge fund Ray Dalio | $10.6M | #325 of 997 | +16.7% | 13F | |
| Renaissance Technologies Hedge fund Jim Simons | $10.4M | #1038 of 3138 | +488.7% | 13F | |
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $1.2M | #1613 of 4729 | +15.8% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
FERG Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30
? 13F Guide
Diluted shares outstanding: 197,875,000 (as of 2026-03-31)
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
12 filers$168.97M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $110.45M | 65.37% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $19.98M | 11.83% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $8.82M | 5.22% | 2025-09-30 |
| 4 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $8.50M | 5.03% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $5.89M | 3.48% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Twin Tree Management, LP | $4.56M | 2.70% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC | $4.13M | 2.45% | 2025-09-30 |
| 8 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $2.28M | 1.35% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $1.69M | 1.00% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $1.45M | 0.86% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | Walleye Capital LLC | $1.04M | 0.62% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Walleye Trading LLC | $189.86K | 0.11% | 2026-06-30 |
15 filers$148.70M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $35.65M | 23.97% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | NATIXIS | $35.60M | 23.94% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $18.61M | 12.51% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Twin Tree Management, LP | $14.52M | 9.77% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $11.34M | 7.63% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian | $9.68M | 6.51% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $7.56M | 5.08% | 2025-09-30 |
| 8 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $4.44M | 2.98% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC | $3.37M | 2.27% | 2025-09-30 |
| 10 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $2.37M | 1.60% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $1.99M | 1.34% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $1.85M | 1.24% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | Walleye Capital LLC | $664.52K | 0.45% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | Walleye Trading LLC | $617.06K | 0.41% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | Two Sigma Investments, LP Custodian | $427.19K | 0.29% | 2026-06-30 |
FERG Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-10-14Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Kevin Michael Murphy | See Remarks | Mixed | −3,636 | $218.60 | -$5.57M | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | Ian T. Graham | See Remarks | Mixed | +1,854 | $219.48 | -$944.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | James A. Paisley | See Remarks | Mixed | +3,438 | $220.04 | -$602.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | Jake Schlicher | Chief Strategy Officer | Mixed | — | $219.32 | -$1.24M | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | Richard Winckler | Chief Accounting Officer | Mixed | +784 | $220.04 | -$141.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | Robert Anthony Camposano Jr. | Senior VP - Waterworks | Mixed | — | $219.24 | -$564.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | William Brundage | Chief Financial Officer | Mixed | −2,811 | $219.39 | -$2.61M | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | Allison Stirrup | Chief Human Resources Officer | Mixed | +721 | $220.04 | -$122.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | William T. Thees Jr | Chief Operating Officer | Mixed | — | $220.02 | -$1.39M | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-13 | James A. Paisley | See Remarks | Award (A) | +2 | $225.63 | $643 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-13 | James S Metcalf | Director | Award (A) | +25 | $216.89 | $5.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-13 | Kelly A Baker | Director | Award (A) | +5 | $224.54 | $1.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-13 | Catherine Ann Halligan | Director | Award (A) | +12 | $222.99 | $2.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-01 | Jake Schlicher | Chief Strategy Officer | Sell (S) | −5,177 | $230.92 | -$1.20M | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-14 | James A. Paisley | See Remarks | Award (A) | +2 | $224.19 | $641 | EDGAR |
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
FERG Insider Holdings
23 insiders · @ $231.61
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Michael Murphy | See Remarks | 185,122 | $42.88M | -$9.58M | 10 | 2026-10-14 |
| 2 | William Brundage | Chief Financial Officer | 54,908 | $12.72M | -$2.01M | 9 | 2026-10-14 |
| 3 | William T. Thees Jr | Chief Operating Officer | 34,778 | $8.05M | -$3.32M | 10 | 2026-10-14 |
| 4 | Ian T. Graham | See Remarks | 11,707 | $2.71M | -$4.69M | 9 | 2026-10-14 |
| 5 | Robert Anthony Camposano Jr. | Senior VP - Waterworks | 10,952 | $2.54M | -$718.8K | 5 | 2026-10-14 |
| 6 | James A. Paisley | See Remarks | 10,636 | $2.46M | -$710.9K | 12 | 2026-10-14 |
| 7 | Jake Schlicher | Chief Strategy Officer | 9,490 | $2.20M | -$4.42M | 11 | 2026-10-14 |
| 8 | Allison Stirrup | Chief Human Resources Officer | 9,079 | $2.10M | -$426.8K | 8 | 2026-10-14 |
| 9 | Geoff Drabble | Director | 7,473 | $1.73M | $0 | 9 | 2026-05-08 |
| 10 | James S Metcalf | Director | 6,985 | $1.62M | $0 | 15 | 2026-10-13 |
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
FERG Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)
Latest: 2026-10-15
? Form 144 Guide
Last 30d:
17 filings
· $7.1M notice value
· Last 90d:
18 filings
· $8.3M notice value
· 7 unique filers
· 94% under 10b5-1 plans
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
Top 90-day filers:
Murphy Kevin Michael (3, $3.0M) · Schlicher Jake (4, $2.0M) · Brundage William (1, $1.3M) · Thees William T. Jr (3, $899K) · Graham Ian T. (3, $481K)
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Camposano Robert Anthony Jr. | Officer | 185 | $41.5K | 2026-10-15 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-15 | Stirrup Allison | Officer | 922 | $207.4K | 2026-10-15 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-15 | Thees William T. Jr | Officer | 353 | $79.2K | 2026-10-15 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-15 | Graham Ian T. | Officer | 238 | $53.4K | 2026-10-15 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-15 | Schlicher Jake | Officer | 314 | $70.5K | 2026-10-15 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-15 | Murphy Kevin Michael | Officer, Director | 1,776 | $398.7K | 2026-10-15 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | Thees William T. Jr | Officer | 217 | $47.9K | 2026-10-14 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | Camposano Robert Anthony Jr. | Officer | 201 | $44.3K | 2026-10-14 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | Graham Ian T. | Officer | 99 | $21.8K | 2026-10-14 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-14 | Murphy Kevin Michael | Officer, Director | 685 | $151.1K | 2026-10-14 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed. Market-wide feed: Planned sales (Form 144).
Recent SEC Filings
Latest: 2026-05-05
Current reports — material events the company must disclose within 4 business days (earnings releases, M&A, executive changes, etc.).
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | 0002011641-26-000028 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-04 | 0002011641-26-000026 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | 0002011641-26-000002 | EDGAR |
| 2025-12-09 | 0002011641-25-000057 | EDGAR |
| 2025-12-04 | 0002011641-25-000055 | EDGAR |
| 2025-09-22 | 0001140361-25-035693 | EDGAR |
| 2025-09-16 | 0002011641-25-000025 | EDGAR |
| 2025-06-03 | 0002011641-25-000013 | EDGAR |
| 2025-04-03 | 0001552781-25-000129 | EDGAR |
| 2025-03-11 | 0002011641-25-000004 | EDGAR |
Annual report — audited financial statements, MD&A, risk factors. Filed 60–90 days after fiscal year-end.
Quarterly report — unaudited financials and MD&A. Filed 40–45 days after each of the first three fiscal quarters.
ETF Holders
281 ETFs hold FERG
25 shown · $7.06B total exposure · 0.09% AUM-weighted avg weight
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.06% | $1.4B | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 2 | VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | Vanguard | 0.07% | $1.1B | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | VO Vanguard Morningstar Mid-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.43% | $922.2M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | IVV iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.06% | $574.1M | $890.0B | 2026-10-14 |
| 5 | SPY State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust | SPDR (State Street) | 0.06% | $526.7M | $812.7B | 2026-10-14 |
| 6 | VTV Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.16% | $410.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 7 | VOE Vanguard Morningstar Mid-Cap Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.73% | $268.9M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 8 | XLI State Street® Industrial Select Sector SPDR® ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.81% | $246.8M | $30.4B | 2026-10-14 |
| 9 | RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF | Invesco | 0.20% | $197.4M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 10 | IWR iShares Russell Mid-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.32% | $178.3M | $56.8B | 2026-10-14 |
| 11 | VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF | Vanguard | 0.18% | $173.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 12 | PHO Invesco Water Resources ETF | Invesco | 8.16% | $157.2M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 13 | SPYM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 500® ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.06% | $118.7M | $183.2B | 2026-10-14 |
| 14 | DUHP Dimensional US High Profitability ETF | Dimensional | 0.55% | $108.6M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 15 | DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF | Dimensional | 0.11% | $100.1M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 16 | IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.11% | $90.5M | $83.8B | 2026-10-14 |
| 17 | FIW First Trust Water ETF | First Trust | 4.11% | $71.0M | $1.7B | 2026-10-14 |
| 18 | DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.14% | $62.9M | $43.8B | 2026-10-14 |
| 19 | IWS iShares Russell Mid-Cap Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.40% | $61.6M | $15.5B | 2026-10-14 |
| 20 | ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.06% | $55.9M | $97.1B | 2026-10-14 |
| 21 | VIS Vanguard Industrials ETF | Vanguard | 0.65% | $55.6M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 22 | VV Vanguard Morningstar Large-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.07% | $50.7M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 23 | SCHX Schwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF | Nport | 0.06% | $47.0M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 24 | DGRW WisdomTree U.S. Quality Dividend Growth Fund | Nport | 0.28% | $46.7M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 25 | IVW iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.05% | $40.4M | $78.4B | 2026-10-14 |
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Trailing P/E
24.46
TTM Diluted EPS
$9.47
TTM Revenue
$30.80B
TTM Net Income
$1.87B
TTM Op. Cash Flow
$2.87B
Quarterly figures (7 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '26 | 2026-03-31 | $7.47B | $414.00M | $2.13 | $772.00M |
| Q1 '26 | 2025-10-31 | $8.17B | $570.00M | $2.90 | $430.00M |
| Q4 '25 | 2025-07-31 | $8.50B | $700.00M | $3.54 | $541.00M |
| Q3 '25 | 2025-04-30 | $7.62B | $410.00M | $2.07 | $682.00M |
| Q1 '25 | 2025-03-31 | $7.21B | $345.00M | $1.73 | $874.00M |
| Q2 '25 | 2025-01-31 | $6.87B | $276.00M | $1.38 | $340.00M |
| Q1 '25 | 2024-10-31 | $7.77B | $470.00M | $2.34 | $345.00M |
Q1 2026 • period ending 2026-03-31 • filed 2026-05-05
Valuation
Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.
Price Multiples
- P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
- P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
- P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
- EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
- EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
Profitability & Yields
- ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
- ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
- Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
- FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
Balance Sheet
- Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
- Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
Reading the history chart
- Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
- Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
- Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
P/E
24.46
P/B
7.80
P/S
1.49
EV/EBITDA
15.50
EV/Sales
1.59
ROE
31.8%
ROA
10.5%
Div Yield
1.55%
FCF Yield
6.26%
Debt/Equity
0.68
Current Ratio
—
Market Cap
$45.83B
as of 2026-10-16
Short Interest & Float
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
Metric definitions
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
Short Interest
7.04M
SI % of Float
5.70%
Days to Cover
4.60
Short Vol Ratio
65.7%
Free Float
123.46M
Float %
63.8%
Short interest 2026-09-30 • Short volume 2026-10-16 • Float 2026-08-24