HOG · Expected Move
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
The expected move for HOG is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
HOG straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current HOG Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.30
7-Day Straddle
$2.33
30-Day ATM IV
49.8%
IV Rank
85%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to HOG's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
HOG Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261022 | $3.30 | $2.33 | 49.8% | 85% |
| 20261021 | $3.12 | $2.38 | 49.8% | 85% |
| 20261020 | $3.25 | $2.52 | 50.9% | 92% |
| 20261019 | $3.10 | $1.10 | 49.7% | 84% |
| 20261016 | $3.10 | $1.25 | 52.0% | 99% |
| 20261015 | $3.23 | $1.43 | 50.9% | 92% |
| 20261014 | $3.15 | $1.40 | 51.3% | 94% |
| 20261013 | $3.25 | $1.50 | 50.0% | 87% |
| 20261012 | $3.20 | $1.15 | 49.7% | 85% |
| 20261009 | $3.00 | $1.27 | 50.3% | 88% |
| 20261008 | $3.05 | $1.48 | 50.2% | 88% |
| 20261007 | $3.05 | $1.40 | 49.7% | 85% |
| 20261006 | $3.08 | $1.55 | 49.6% | 84% |
| 20261005 | $3.10 | $1.25 | 50.2% | 88% |
| 20261002 | $2.53 | $1.07 | 46.0% | 62% |
| 20261001 | $2.83 | $1.30 | 50.0% | 86% |
| 20260930 | $2.75 | $1.27 | 47.6% | 72% |
| 20260929 | $2.70 | $1.32 | 45.8% | 61% |
| 20260928 | $2.78 | $1.05 | 46.9% | 67% |
| 20260925 | $2.45 | $1.10 | 43.6% | 47% |
| 20260924 | $2.47 | $1.18 | 43.9% | 49% |
| 20260923 | $2.42 | $1.25 | 41.1% | 32% |
| 20260922 | $2.52 | $1.25 | 41.7% | 35% |
| 20260921 | $2.58 | $0.95 | 40.7% | 29% |
| 20260918 | $2.17 | $1.10 | 40.2% | 26% |
| 20260917 | $2.30 | $1.23 | 37.5% | 10% |
| 20260916 | $2.42 | $1.30 | 39.7% | 23% |
| 20260915 | $2.53 | $1.57 | 38.9% | 31% |
| 20260914 | $2.58 | $0.98 | 39.7% | 35% |
| 20260911 | $2.38 | $1.23 | 37.6% | 21% |
| 20260910 | $2.42 | $1.35 | 39.9% | 31% |
| 20260909 | $2.27 | $1.40 | 37.2% | 19% |
| 20260908 | $2.45 | $1.60 | 39.0% | 27% |
| 20260904 | $2.35 | $0.95 | 36.7% | 17% |
| 20260903 | $2.30 | $1.12 | 36.7% | 17% |
| 20260902 | $2.42 | $1.40 | 37.7% | 20% |
| 20260901 | $2.42 | $1.40 | 38.2% | 23% |
| 20260831 | $2.52 | $0.95 | 38.7% | 24% |
| 20260828 | $2.38 | $1.25 | 38.4% | 23% |
| 20260827 | $2.35 | $1.33 | 37.1% | 18% |
| 20260826 | $2.30 | $1.45 | 36.3% | 14% |
| 20260825 | $2.50 | $1.55 | 37.4% | 19% |
| 20260824 | $2.60 | $1.00 | 38.4% | 23% |
| 20260821 | $2.23 | $0.97 | 35.9% | 13% |
| 20260820 | $2.40 | $1.20 | 37.7% | 20% |
| 20260819 | $2.40 | $1.43 | 37.2% | 18% |
| 20260818 | $2.48 | $1.45 | 38.4% | 23% |
| 20260817 | $2.48 | $0.97 | 39.0% | 26% |
| 20260814 | $2.58 | $1.10 | 39.7% | 28% |
| 20260813 | $2.40 | $1.67 | 38.5% | 23% |
| 20260812 | $2.33 | $1.38 | 39.5% | 27% |
| 20260811 | $2.83 | $1.38 | 43.0% | 41% |
| 20260810 | $2.67 | $0.97 | 43.2% | 42% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 42.3% | 38% |
| 20260806 | $2.58 | $1.27 | 44.0% | 45% |
| 20260805 | $2.35 | $1.33 | 39.8% | 28% |
| 20260804 | $2.55 | $1.45 | 41.4% | 35% |
| 20260803 | $2.58 | $1.05 | 42.5% | 39% |
| 20260731 | $2.17 | $1.12 | 41.4% | 35% |
| 20260730 | $2.20 | $1.27 | 40.2% | 30% |
More on HOG
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.