HTH · Expected Move

HILLTOP HOLDINGS INC.

The expected move for HTH is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

HTH straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current HTH Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.55
7-Day Straddle
$4.55
30-Day ATM IV
34.4%
IV Rank
32%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to HTH's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
HTH Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261019 $4.55 $4.55 34.4% 32%
20261016 $5.90 $4.90 60.1% 100%
20261015 $5.05 $2.02 33.5% 35%
20261014 $4.95 $4.90 36.7% 45%
20261013 $4.68 $4.90 33.7% 36%
20261012 $5.35 $2.98 37.8% 49%
20261009 $5.10 $4.10 51.0% 90%
20261008 $3.88 $2.67 33.4% 35%
20261007 $5.03 $4.97 40.0% 55%
20261006 $4.25 $3.65 31.1% 28%
20261005 $3.85 $2.88 37.5% 48%
20261002 $2.75 $2.75 36.8% 46%
20261001 $3.70 $3.70 30.5% 26%
20260930 $3.17 $3.17 31.1% 27%
20260929 $3.33 $3.33 36.4% 43%
20260928 $3.00 $3.00 34.2% 36%
20260925 $3.12 $3.12 32.9% 33%
20260924 $3.02 $3.02 30.1% 24%
20260923 $3.40 $3.40 38.8% 50%
20260922 $3.02 $3.02 39.0% 51%
20260921 $2.47 $2.47 32.3% 31%
20260918 $3.40 $2.77 36.3% 43%
20260917 $2.38 $1.62 31.5% 28%
20260916 $3.38 $4.80 40.0% 54%
20260915 $3.12 $1.62 35.5% 40%
20260914 $2.92 $1.85 31.3% 28%
20260911 $3.40 $2.77 35.7% 41%
20260910 $3.17 $2.97 32.6% 31%
20260909 $3.77 $3.42 40.6% 56%
20260908 $2.62 $1.85 34.5% 37%
20260904 $3.33 $4.38 34.9% 38%
20260903 $4.80 $4.80 42.2% 61%
20260902 $2.83 $2.83 38.4% 49%
20260901 $2.33 $2.33 33.6% 34%
20260831 $2.05 $2.05 33.0% 33%
20260828 $2.10 $2.10 24.7% 8%
20260827 $2.02 $2.02 30.2% 24%
20260826 $1.62 $1.62 29.7% 23%
20260825 $1.90 $1.90 35.2% 39%
20260824 $1.52 $1.52 26.1% 12%
20260821 $2.65 $3.70 31.4% 28%
20260820 $2.08 $1.60 22.2% 0%
20260819 $2.52 $2.20 29.8% 12%
20260818 $2.75 $3.58 30.7% 15%
20260817 $2.73 $2.02 26.4% 0%
20260814 $2.65 $1.72 28.2% 5%
20260813 $4.62 $3.58 37.4% 37%
20260812 $3.58 $1.77 37.5% 38%
20260811 $3.73 $1.80 29.4% 9%
20260810 $3.38 $2.10 32.5% 20%
20260807 — — 33.9% 25%
20260806 $4.62 $2.08 37.5% 38%
20260805 $3.83 $3.83 33.3% 23%
20260804 $3.83 $3.83 33.7% 24%
20260803 $3.40 $3.40 45.8% 67%
20260731 $4.80 $4.80 29.3% 9%
20260730 $5.30 $5.30 40.1% 47%
20260729 $4.90 $4.90 39.2% 37%
20260728 $4.80 $4.80 30.9% 12%
20260727 $2.88 $2.88 41.5% 44%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.