Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock(LLYVA)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

LLYVA $97.97
Snapshot
$97.97
52-Week Range
$74.38 – $106.06
YTD
+18.77%
IV Rank (30D)
19.05
Straddle Price
$7.27
Market Cap
$9.1B
Fair Value
MODEL: SHORT

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.73%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)10.23% (VRP-adj)
WACC7.79%
Volatility Risk Premium+40.1pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps
Effective Tax Rate14.4%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+3.0%
DCF Horizon5 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$2.4B
Return on Equity (TTM)5.6%
Book / Price139.5% — banking bias active (P/B is primary)
Gross Margin (TTM)31.8%
FCF Margin (TTM)63.4%
Debt / Equity0.71
Quality Score1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF)
Market-Implied Growth-9.2% (reverse-DCF on current price)
SMA 50$100.06 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$101.23
Bollinger Width / SMA207.5% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$12.3B
Market Cap$14B
Peers used for multiples: BATRK, CHDN, DIS, FWONA, MSGE, MSGS, RCI, TKO
Model Conviction
21%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Oct 1, 2026
$99.59
α +0.8% rank 92%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Oct 30, 2026
$100.59
α +1.8% rank 92%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 30, 2026
$97.17
α -1.6% rank 92%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF $233.36 0%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E n/a 0% median 55.5× · 5 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0% median 14.5× · 6 peers
Peer P/B $618.09 12% median 4.5× · 5 peers
Peer P/S $77.45 12% median 3.0× · 6 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $100.06 77% stability 100% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-09-02 · updated
Info
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$9.1B

Liberty Live Holdings Inc consists of its ownership in Live Nation, its wholly owned subsidiary Quint and other minority investments. Quint is a provider of premium sports and entertainment experiences. Through exclusive rights agreements with sports leagues, event organizers, and governing bodies, Quint designs, develops, and sells official ticket-inclusive hospitality and single to multi-day experiential packages that may include on or off-site experiences, transportation, and hotel accommodations, with involvement of Quint personnel throughout the multi-day experiences. Live Nation is one o…

Summary
composite
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +3.13% 3
Feb +6.57% 3
Mar -0.93% 3
Apr -2.90% 3
May +3.79% 3
Jun +4.00% 3
Jul -0.87% 3
Aug +3.04% 4
Sep +6.07% 4
Oct +1.13% 3
Nov +6.33% 3
Dec +3.01% 3
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $101.08
SMA 50: $100.17
SMA 200: $91.52
Current: $97.81
EMA 12: $99.87
EMA 26: $100.15
MACD: -0.2809 | Signal: -0.6103
BULLISH
ADX (14): 12.90
RANGE
+DI: 15.55
−DI: 24.69

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 43.81
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 7.40
Stoch %D: 9.71
Williams %R: -93.93

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $105.27
BB Lower: $96.89
NEUTRAL
OBV: 12,269,820
Vol SMA 20: 132,324
Vol ROC: -72.56%
ATR: $2.52
True Range: $2.61
HV 20: 27.4%
HV 30: 36.1%
HV 60: 31.5%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-09-05T00:00:00 – 2026-09-02T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Earnings History
5 of 7 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
8.21%
Avg Actual Move
3.55%
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2024-09-03 unknown 8.89% 0.18% 0.02x Within
2024-11-12 Pre-Market 8.44% 9.90% 1.17x Exceeded
2025-02-28 Pre-Market 8.49% 1.62% 0.19x Within
2025-05-07 Pre-Market 8.38% 0.27% 0.03x Within
2025-07-21 Pre-Market 7.68% 0.92% 0.12x Within
2025-11-05 Pre-Market 7.32% 9.50% 1.30x Exceeded
2026-02-26 Pre-Market 8.26% 2.44% 0.30x Within
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
19.05
IV Rank (7D)
65.26
Avg IV
51.5%
Straddle (30D)
$7.27
Straddle (7D)
$5.05
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
0.57
Correlation (SPY)
22.8%
0.05
Ann. Volatility
32.0%
SPY Volatility
12.8%

Low volatility - stock moves less than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30
Diluted shares outstanding: 148,750,500 (as of 2024-06-30)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

255 filers26,867,552 shares$2.61B value18.06% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC 4,986,588 $504.94M 19.37% 3.35% 2026-06-30
2 Linonia Partnership LP 2,376,439 $240.64M 9.23% 1.60% 2026-06-30
3 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 2,003,440 $163.28M 6.26% 1.35% 2025-12-31
4 MORGAN STANLEY Custodian 1,277,902 $129.40M 4.96% 0.86% 2026-06-30
5 BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ Custodian 1,156,800 $117.14M 4.49% 0.78% 2026-06-30
6 Sculptor Capital LP 1,100,000 $111.39M 4.27% 0.74% 2026-06-30
7 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian 1,038,607 $105.17M 4.04% 0.70% 2026-06-30
8 Corvex Management LP 1,005,434 $101.81M 3.91% 0.68% 2026-06-30
9 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 981,990 $99.44M 3.81% 0.66% 2026-06-30
10 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 945,341 $95.73M 3.67% 0.64% 2026-06-30
11 VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC 898,276 $90.96M 3.49% 0.60% 2026-06-30
12 ValueAct Holdings, L.P. 785,119 $79.50M 3.05% 0.53% 2026-06-30
13 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian 667,360 $67.58M 2.59% 0.45% 2026-06-30
14 Alberta Investment Management Corp 471,258 $47.72M 1.83% 0.32% 2026-06-30
15 PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC 425,250 $43.06M 1.65% 0.29% 2026-06-30
16 STATE OF WISCONSIN INVESTMENT BOARD 390,469 $39.54M 1.52% 0.26% 2026-06-30
17 JNE Partners LLP 368,121 $37.28M 1.43% 0.25% 2026-06-30
18 STATE STREET CORP 359,056 $36.36M 1.39% 0.24% 2026-06-30
19 JPMORGAN CHASE & CO Custodian 340,545 $34.83M 1.34% 0.23% 2026-06-30
20 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 320,503 $32.47M 1.25% 0.22% 2026-06-30
21 LMR Partners LLP 233,632 $23.66M 0.91% 0.16% 2026-06-30
22 BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA 214,200 $21.69M 0.83% 0.14% 2026-06-30
23 UBS Group AG Custodian 205,222 $20.78M 0.80% 0.14% 2026-06-30
24 ROYAL BANK OF CANADA Custodian 184,373 $18.68M 0.72% 0.12% 2026-06-30
25 BNP Paribas Asset Management Holding S.A. 181,829 $18.41M 0.71% 0.12% 2026-06-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
Insider Activity
Latest: 2026-02-17
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-02-17 BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC 10%+ Owner Sell (S) −330,518 $82.86 -$27.39M EDGAR
2025-12-15 Liberty Media Corp 10%+ Owner Other (J) −1,000 EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
Insider Holdings
1 insider · @ $97.81
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC 10%+ Owner 10,587,143 $1.04B -$27.39M 1 2026-02-17
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
Recent SEC Filings
Latest: 2026-05-13
Current reports — material events the company must disclose within 4 business days (earnings releases, M&A, executive changes, etc.).
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-05-13 0002078416-26-000006 EDGAR
2026-03-23 0001104659-26-033049 EDGAR
2026-03-13 0001104659-26-027369 EDGAR
2026-03-09 0002078416-26-000004 EDGAR
2026-03-06 0001104659-26-024287 EDGAR
2026-01-26 0002078416-26-000002 EDGAR
2025-12-23 0001104659-25-124227 EDGAR
2025-12-15 0001104659-25-121239 EDGAR
2025-12-08 0001104659-25-119086 EDGAR
2025-11-19 0002078416-25-000003 EDGAR
Annual report — audited financial statements, MD&A, risk factors. Filed 60–90 days after fiscal year-end.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-02-26 0001104659-26-020657 EDGAR
Quarterly report — unaudited financials and MD&A. Filed 40–45 days after each of the first three fiscal quarters.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-05-07 0001104659-26-057082 EDGAR
2025-11-13 0001104659-25-111133 EDGAR
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

TTM Revenue$1.0B
TTM Net Income$0.5B
TTM EPS$457000.0