MFP Midera Food Processing, Inc. Common Stock
XNAS 39.73 DelayedStock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $34.65 – $52.58
- YTD
- +8.55%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 33.79
- Straddle Price
- $6.53
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 3.86
- Market Cap
- $1.8B
- Open
- $39.20
- Day Range
- $38.51 – $39.87
- Volume
- 446,805
- Prev Close
- $39.73
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.22% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.95 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.99% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.84% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +32.4pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +3.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Quality Score | 0/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $44.17 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $42.17 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 39.5% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.0B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 28.1× · 7 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 17.0× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | n/a | 0% | median 3.9× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | n/a | 0% | median 1.9× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $44.17 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $39.46 | 0% | 8 strikes · skew -0.04 |
- Industry (SIC)
- REFRIGERATION & SERVICE INDUSTRY MACHINERY (3580) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $1.8B
- List Date
- 2026-06-26
- CIK
- 0002088281
- Headquarters
- Elgin, IL
- Homepage
- https://www.middleby.com
Midera Food Processing Inc provides food processing equipment and automation solutions for industrial protein, bakery, and snack producers, delivering total line solutions from preparation and thermal processing through packaging. The company operates through a portfolio of brands and serves food processors globally. It serves various international food processing companies and producers of protein products, such as bacon, charcuterie, sausage and hot dogs, egg bites, poultry, alternative protein, lunch meat and pet food, and producers of bakery products, such as bread and buns, artisan bread,…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | -- |
| Feb | -- | -- |
| Mar | -- | -- |
| Apr | -- | -- |
| May | -- | -- |
| Jun | -- | -- |
| Jul | 31.01% | 31.01% |
| Aug | -0.87% | -0.87% |
| Sep | -7.65% | -7.65% |
| Oct | -4.38%* | -4.38% |
| Nov | -- | -- |
| Dec | -- | -- |
| Total | 14.68% | 14.68% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
SYMBOL: MFP
Executive Summary Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 5/10) Key Drivers: Low volatility, bullish momentum signals, and positive earnings expectations Primary Risks: Lack of clear trend direction, medium-term bearish sentiment in options market Investment Thesis: MFP is a low-volatility stock with potential for long-term growth. While recent news has been neutral, options market sentiment suggests caution. Recent News Sentiment Impact: Neutral headlines have not significantly impacted the stock price.
Technical Analysis Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): NEUTRAL
- Medium-term (1-3 months): BEARISH
- Long-term (3-12 months): BULLISH
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Upper: $N/A
- Middle: $N/A
- Lower: $N/A Support levels from moving averages and technical patterns are not available due to lack of historical data.
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: N/A (N/A) - no clear overbought or oversold conditions
- MACD signal: No signal line available
- Bollinger Bands position: N/A (squeeze, breakout, mean reversion) - unclear trend direction
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: N/A
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): N/A
- Volume Rate of Change: N/A% - no clear volume trends or institutional interest signals
News & Sentiment Analysis Recent Headlines Summary: Neutral headlines have not significantly impacted the stock price.
Sentiment Assessment: NEUTRAL (Aggregate news sentiment)
Catalyst Identification: No upcoming events, earnings, product launches, or regulatory changes
Market Narrative: News sentiment is neutral, but options market suggests caution.
Risk & Volatility Assessment Beta Interpretation: Low risk relative to market (beta <0.8 = defensive)
Volatility Regime: Current volatility levels are low compared to historical data.
Options Market Signals:
- IV rank: 40.1% (Medium) - shows if volatility is historically high/low
- Current IV: 77.9%
- Expected Move: $6.55 (29 DTE), 7-DTE: $3.15
- Volume Flow: 4 calls vs 31 puts - bearish sentiment
- Open Interest: 8 calls vs 34 puts - bearish sentiment
Downside Protection:
- Support levels from moving averages and technical patterns are not available due to lack of historical data.
Market Context & Positioning Sector Performance: MFP's performance is relative to the overall market.
Institutional Activity: No clear volume trends or institutional interest signals.
Correlation Analysis: How stock moves relative to market (R-squared interpretation) - unclear correlation.
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range - unclear trend direction.
Key Levels & Action Items Critical Price Levels:
- Upper: $N/A
- Middle: $N/A
- Lower: $N/A
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- No clear levels due to lack of historical data and unclear trend direction.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts:
- No upcoming events, earnings, product launches, or regulatory changes.
Risk Management:
- Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations - unclear risk assessment due to lack of historical data and unclear trend direction.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Pre-Market | 9.37% | 1.51% | 0.16x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
MFP Options Activity & IV Rank
MFP IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Options Flow
ATM Options Pricing
Chain Summary
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 70
Period: 252 trading days
Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
MFP Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
MFP Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-09-09| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Amy A. Campbell | Chief Financial Officer | Award (A) | +10,313 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-09 | Mark S. Salman | Chief Executive Officer | Award (A) | +22,707 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-09 | Matthew R Fuchsen | Chief Strategy Officer | Award (A) | +8,515 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-09 | Mark S. Bowie | Chief Operating Officer | Award (A) | +8,989 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-31 | Robert A Nerbonne | Director | Award (A) | +6,295 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-31 | Cathy L McCarthy | Director | Award (A) | +5,672 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-19 | Robert A Nerbonne | Director | Buy (P) | +10,900 | $45.05 | $491.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-03 | Mark S. Bowie | Chief Operating Officer | Award (A) | +12,463 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-03 | Cathy L McCarthy | Director | Award (A) | +10,734 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-03 | Villena Carlos A. Fernandez | Director | Award (A) | +4,239 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-03 | James T Glerum Jr. | Director | Award (A) | +4,239 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-03 | Matthew R Fuchsen | Chief Strategy Officer | Award (A) | +26,996 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-03 | Amy A. Campbell | Chief Financial Officer | Award (A) | +12,463 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-03 | Janet Zelenka | Director | Award (A) | +4,862 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-03 | Robert A Nerbonne | Director | Award (A) | +11,357 | — | EDGAR |
MFP Insider Holdings
11 insiders · @ $39.73| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothy John Fitzgerald | Director | 352,176 | $13.99M | $0 | 1 | 2026-08-03 |
| 2 | Mark S. Salman | Chief Executive Officer | 83,686 | $3.32M | $0 | 2 | 2026-09-09 |
| 3 | Matthew R Fuchsen | Chief Strategy Officer | 73,779 | $2.93M | $0 | 2 | 2026-09-09 |
| 4 | Robert A Nerbonne | Director | 27,494 | $1.09M | $491.0K | 3 | 2026-08-31 |
| 5 | Amy A. Campbell | Chief Financial Officer | 22,776 | $904.9K | $0 | 2 | 2026-09-09 |
| 6 | Mark S. Bowie | Chief Operating Officer | 21,452 | $852.3K | $0 | 2 | 2026-09-09 |
| 7 | Cathy L McCarthy | Director | 11,589 | $460.4K | $0 | 2 | 2026-08-31 |
| 8 | Brian M. Jacoby | Director | 4,239 | $168.4K | $0 | 1 | 2026-08-03 |
| 9 | Janet Zelenka | Director | 1,247 | $49.5K | $0 | 1 | 2026-08-03 |
| 10 | James T Glerum Jr. | Director | 624 | $24.8K | $0 | 1 | 2026-08-03 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.10% | $98.2M | $103.2B | 2026-10-12 |
| 2 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.00% | $60.7M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 3 | VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $43.9M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 4 | VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.04% | $27.9M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 5 | VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $22.7M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 6 | SPSM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 600™ Small Cap ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.10% | $15.0M | $15.7B | 2026-10-12 |
| 7 | IJS iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.18% | $13.6M | $7.5B | 2026-10-12 |
| 8 | DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF | Dimensional | 0.04% | $13.0M | — | 2026-10-12 |
| 9 | SLYV State Street® SPDR® S&P 600™ Small Cap Value ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.18% | $8.6M | $4.7B | 2026-10-12 |
| 10 | DFAT Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.03% | $8.4M | — | 2026-10-12 |
| 11 | IWR iShares Russell Mid-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.01% | $7.4M | $56.7B | 2026-10-12 |
| 12 | DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF | Dimensional | 0.01% | $7.2M | — | 2026-10-12 |
| 13 | FXR First Trust Industrials/Producer Durables AlphaDEX® Fund | First Trust | 1.03% | $7.0M | $684.9M | 2026-10-12 |
| 14 | VIOO Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF | Vanguard | 0.11% | $7.0M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 15 | VIOV Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.21% | $4.2M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 16 | DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.01% | $3.8M | — | 2026-10-12 |
| 17 | IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.00% | $3.8M | $83.2B | 2026-10-12 |
| 18 | IWS iShares Russell Mid-Cap Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.02% | $2.7M | $15.4B | 2026-10-12 |
| 19 | DCOR Dimensional US Core Equity 1 ETF | Dimensional | 0.01% | $2.4M | — | 2026-10-12 |
| 20 | CSD Invesco S&P Spin-Off ETF | Nport | 1.06% | $2.4M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 21 | VIS Vanguard Industrials ETF | Vanguard | 0.03% | $2.4M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 22 | ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.00% | $2.2M | $97.9B | 2026-10-12 |
| 23 | VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.00% | $1.7M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 24 | PSCI Invesco S&P SmallCap Industrials ETF | Invesco | 0.54% | $1.4M | — | 2026-10-12 |
| 25 | DFUV Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.01% | $1.4M | $15.4B | 2026-10-12 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.