Mistras Group Inc.(MG)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $7.38 – $19.56
- YTD
- +40.87%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 80.51
- Straddle Price
- $3.30
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 5.88
- Market Cap
- $0.6B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.53% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 10.03% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 8.70% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +46.7pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 24.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -8.8% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.0B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 9.6% |
| Book / Price | 39.1% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 28.5% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 0.6% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.80 |
| Quality Score | 0/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $17.62 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $17.65 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 70.2% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.2B |
| Market Cap | $1B |
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | -8.3% ⚠ | -1.67 | +0.36 | 48.9% | — |
| 42d | -10.9% ⚠ | -1.51 | +0.43 | 51.1% | — |
| 63d | -10.2% ⚠ | -1.01 | +0.68 | 63.5% | — |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $-3.77 | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | $15.17 | 25% | median 21.7× · 4 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $42.40 | 25% | median 17.3× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/B | $27.90 | 25% | median 3.8× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/S | $40.03 | 25% | median 1.8× · 4 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $17.62 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-ENGINEERING SERVICES (8711)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $0.6B
MISTRAS Group Inc provides asset protection solutions and systems. The company evaluates the structural integrity and reliability of critical energy, industrial, and public infrastructure. The company's three operating segments are North America, International, and Products and Systems, of which key revenue is derived from the North America segment. The North America segment provides asset protection solutions, including NDT, inspection, and mechanical and engineering services, along with software, digital, and data services.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +5.99% | 6 |
| Feb | +5.00% | 6 |
| Mar | +7.47% | 6 |
| Apr | -0.99% | 6 |
| May | -8.31% | 6 |
| Jun | +1.49% | 6 |
| Jul | +4.94% | 5 |
| Aug | -7.28% | 5 |
| Sep | -4.51% | 5 |
| Oct | -5.34% | 5 |
| Nov | +2.46% | 5 |
| Dec | +5.83% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report - MG
Executive Summary
BULLISH (Confidence Level: 7/10)
Key Drivers:
- Technical momentum signals suggest a strong uptrend, with MACD indicating bullish momentum.
- Recent news headlines are generally positive, highlighting partnerships and product launches.
Primary Risks:
- High volatility, which may lead to increased risk.
- Options market pricing suggests a potential move by expiration, which could be a catalyst for further price movement.
Investment Thesis: MG is likely to continue its uptrend due to strong technical momentum and positive news sentiment. However, high volatility and options market expectations may pose risks to the upside.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The recent headlines have had a neutral to positive impact on MG's stock price, with no significant negative news articles reported.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks): Uptrend; Medium-term (1-3 months): Uptrend; Long-term (3-12 months): Uptrend
Support/Resistance Levels:
- SMA 20: $17.74 - key support level
- SMA 50: $17.69 - secondary support level
- Upper Bollinger Band: $18.86 - potential resistance level
Momentum Signals: RSI interpretation: Neutral (57.96); MACD signal: Bullish; Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze
Volume Analysis: Volume trends indicate a moderate increase in buying interest, with on-balance volume (OBV) suggesting a bullish trend.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The recent headlines have been primarily positive, highlighting partnerships and product launches. There is no significant negative news reported.
Sentiment Assessment: Positive sentiment prevails, with 4 out of 6 articles having a positive tone.
Catalyst Identification: Titanique (GlobeNewswire Inc., 2026-04-06) - potential catalyst for further price movement
Market Narrative: The market narrative suggests MG is likely to continue its uptrend due to the strong technical momentum and positive news sentiment.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Beta >1.32 (vs SPY) - high risk relative to market.
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is higher than historical levels, suggesting increased risk.
Options Market Signals: IV rank: 46.4% (Medium); Put/Call volume ratio: 5.88 (Bearish sentiment)
Downside Protection: Support level at SMA 20 ($17.74) and potential stop-loss levels at $18.30.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: MG's sector, Industrials, has been performing relatively well, with a strong uptrend.
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggest institutional interest in MG's stock price movement.
Correlation Analysis: Correlation with SPY is 0.39, indicating a moderate positive correlation.
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range, with potential for further upside if news sentiment remains positive.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels: Support level at SMA 20 ($17.74) and potential resistance level at Upper Bollinger Band ($18.86).
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Break above SMA 50 ($17.69) or below SMA 20 ($17.74) could trigger significant price movement.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings date (TBD) - potential catalyst for further price movement
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels at $18.30 and position sizing considerations based on market volatility.
Please note that this report is an analysis of the given data and should not be considered as buy or sell advice. The provided information may not be suitable for all investors, and it's essential to assess your individual risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-31 | After-Close | 10.00% | 2.00% | 0.20x | Within |
| 2024-10-30 | After-Close | 17.34% | 23.87% | 1.38x | Exceeded |
| 2025-03-05 | Pre-Market | 15.59% | 2.26% | 0.14x | Within |
| 2025-05-08 | After-Close | 27.10% | 0.55% | 0.02x | Within |
| 2025-08-06 | Pre-Market | 15.49% | 0.76% | 0.05x | Within |
| 2025-11-04 | After-Close | 17.24% | 23.20% | 1.35x | Exceeded |
| 2026-03-04 | After-Close | 11.66% | 4.82% | 0.41x | Within |
| 2026-05-05 | After-Close | 13.34% | 2.11% | 0.16x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 80.51
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 213.8%
- Straddle (30D)
- $3.30
- Straddle (7D)
- $1.35
- P/C Volume
- 5.88
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 1.32
- Correlation (SPY)
- 38.7%
- R²
- 0.15
- Ann. Volatility
- 42.0%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.3%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $32.52K | 61.11% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $20.69K | 38.89% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $784.82K | 37.50% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $427.14K | 20.41% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $339.94K | 16.24% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $316.29K | 15.11% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $220.22K | 10.52% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $4.43K | 0.21% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Aspasia Felice Vahaviolos | 10%+ Owner | Gift (G) | +528,672 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-04 | Stephanie Athena Foglia | 10%+ Owner | Mixed | −1,065,344 | $15.43 | -$123.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-21 | CHARLES P PIZZI | Director | Award (A) | +6,862 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-21 | NICHOLAS DEBENEDICTIS | Director | Award (A) | +6,862 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-21 | JAMES J FORESE | Director | Award (A) | +6,862 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-21 | Michelle Lohmeier | Director | Award (A) | +6,862 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-21 | RICHARD H GLANTON | Director | Award (A) | +6,862 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-26 | Hanei Wail Hammad | EVP & Chief Operating Officer | Tax (F) | −2,865 | $15.10 | -$43.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-23 | Edward J Prajzner | Sr. EVP and CFO | Tax (F) | −1,367 | $14.05 | -$19.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-17 | Edward J Prajzner | Sr. EVP and CFO | Tax (F) | −2,239 | $14.61 | -$32.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-10 | Manuel N. Stamatakis | Executive Chairman | Tax (F) | −814 | $15.68 | -$12.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-10 | Edward J Prajzner | Sr. EVP and CFO | Tax (F) | −3,238 | $15.01 | -$48.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-10 | Gennaro A. D'Alterio | EVP, Chief Commercial Officer | Tax (F) | −184 | $15.68 | -$2.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-10 | Hanei Wail Hammad | EVP & Chief Operating Officer | Tax (F) | −337 | $15.68 | -$5.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-09 | Hanei Wail Hammad | EVP & Chief Operating Officer | Mixed | +23,378 | $10.79 | -$68.9K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sotirios J. Vahaviolos | Executive Chairman | 10,352,803 | $193.08M | -$31.04M | 49 | 2024-08-19 |
| 2 | Stephanie Athena Foglia | 10%+ Owner | 1,412,329 | $26.34M | -$123.4K | 1 | 2026-06-04 |
| 3 | Aspasia Felice Vahaviolos | 10%+ Owner | 1,382,964 | $25.79M | $0 | 3 | 2026-06-04 |
| 4 | Elizabeth Burgess | Director | 965,594 | $18.01M | -$15.13M | 2 | 2010-04-22 |
| 5 | Manuel N. Stamatakis | Executive Chairman | 509,795 | $9.51M | $1.80M | 57 | 2026-03-10 |
| 6 | Dennis Bertolotti | President and CEO | 424,358 | $7.91M | -$1.33M | 67 | 2023-03-30 |
| 7 | NICHOLAS DEBENEDICTIS | Director | 273,820 | $5.11M | $1.55M | 35 | 2026-05-21 |
| 8 | Michael J. Lange | Senior EVP | 240,515 | $4.49M | -$8.00M | 76 | 2024-09-25 |
| 9 | Jonathan H Wolk | Sr. EVP and COO | 194,575 | $3.63M | $122.0K | 45 | 2023-01-03 |
| 10 | JAMES J FORESE | Director | 177,043 | $3.30M | -$14.38M | 31 | 2026-05-21 |
| 11 | Paul Peterik | Chief Financial Officer | 164,500 | $3.07M | $25.0K | 3 | 2010-04-05 |
| 12 | Mark F. Carlos | Group EVP, Products & Systems | 163,120 | $3.04M | -$1.18M | 18 | 2016-08-18 |
| 13 | Phillip T. Cole | Group EVP, International | 160,950 | $3.00M | -$853.8K | 5 | 2012-11-13 |
| 14 | Edward J Prajzner | Sr. EVP and CFO | 148,076 | $2.76M | $0 | 28 | 2026-03-23 |
| 15 | NATALIA SHUMAN-FABBRI | President and CEO | 126,190 | $2.35M | $0 | 2 | 2026-03-06 |
| 16 | John Anthony Smith | Executive Vice President | 100,447 | $1.87M | -$63.0K | 3 | 2024-04-05 |
| 17 | Michelle Lohmeier | Director | 99,223 | $1.85M | $41.3K | 14 | 2026-05-21 |
| 18 | Michael C Keefe | EVP, General Counsel | 91,558 | $1.71M | -$1.44M | 63 | 2025-03-20 |
| 19 | CHARLES P PIZZI | Director | 73,480 | $1.37M | $0 | 11 | 2026-05-21 |
| 20 | RICHARD H GLANTON | Director | 71,241 | $1.33M | -$467.3K | 32 | 2026-05-21 |
| 21 | Hanei Wail Hammad | EVP & Chief Operating Officer | 61,777 | $1.15M | $0 | 6 | 2026-03-26 |
| 22 | Gennaro A. D'Alterio | EVP, Chief Commercial Officer | 47,239 | $881.0K | $0 | 8 | 2026-03-10 |
| 23 | WAYNE CURTIS WELDON | Director | 36,106 | $673.4K | -$35.3K | 13 | 2020-08-25 |
| 24 | Eileen Mary Coggins | EVP, General Counsel | 22,242 | $414.8K | $143.2K | 3 | 2026-03-04 |
| 25 | FRANCIS T JOYCE | EVP, CFO and Treasurer | 20,042 | $373.8K | -$508.2K | 6 | 2013-08-16 |
| 26 | Philip Orlando | Principal Financial Officer | 18,182 | $339.1K | $0 | 1 | 2014-03-06 |
| 27 | Ellen T Ruff | Director | 14,165 | $264.2K | $0 | 8 | 2015-08-14 |
| 28 | DANIEL M DICKINSON | Director | 13,407 | $250.0K | -$15.12M | 8 | 2014-08-15 |
| 29 | Ralph L. Genesi | Group EVP, Marketing and Sales | 9,909 | $184.8K | -$2.53M | 23 | 2015-05-22 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 26.0 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.5 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.8 |
| TTM Revenue | $0.7B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.0B |
| TTM EPS | $0.7 |
| ROE | 9.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.02% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 |