PONY · Expected Move
Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares
The expected move for PONY is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
PONY straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current PONY Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.03
7-Day Straddle
$0.31
30-Day ATM IV
108.9%
IV Rank
78%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to PONY's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
PONY Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261019 | $1.03 | $0.31 | 108.9% | 78% |
| 20261016 | $0.73 | $0.34 | 76.0% | 31% |
| 20261015 | $0.92 | $0.56 | 70.6% | 23% |
| 20261014 | $0.70 | $0.53 | 69.4% | 21% |
| 20261013 | $0.92 | $0.56 | 71.4% | 24% |
| 20261012 | $0.79 | $0.49 | 63.4% | 13% |
| 20261009 | $0.84 | $0.30 | 63.4% | 12% |
| 20261008 | $0.91 | $0.54 | 64.6% | 14% |
| 20261007 | $1.04 | $0.50 | 73.8% | 27% |
| 20261006 | $0.90 | $0.55 | 62.6% | 11% |
| 20261005 | $1.06 | $0.33 | 69.7% | 22% |
| 20261002 | $0.89 | $0.39 | 67.7% | 19% |
| 20261001 | $1.02 | $0.88 | 65.0% | 15% |
| 20260930 | $1.09 | $0.65 | 73.1% | 26% |
| 20260929 | $1.02 | $1.70 | 64.8% | 15% |
| 20260928 | $1.03 | $0.38 | 64.6% | 14% |
| 20260925 | $1.10 | $0.42 | 70.8% | 23% |
| 20260924 | $0.99 | $0.69 | 64.4% | 14% |
| 20260923 | $1.15 | $0.71 | 66.4% | 17% |
| 20260922 | $1.17 | $0.77 | 67.5% | 18% |
| 20260921 | $1.04 | $0.46 | 64.7% | 14% |
| 20260918 | $1.13 | $0.71 | 61.4% | 10% |
| 20260917 | $1.25 | $0.47 | 69.8% | 22% |
| 20260916 | $1.32 | $0.55 | 82.5% | 40% |
| 20260915 | $1.42 | $0.56 | 75.2% | 29% |
| 20260914 | $1.27 | $0.43 | 67.1% | 18% |
| 20260911 | $1.08 | $0.57 | 72.2% | 25% |
| 20260910 | $1.10 | $1.58 | 74.1% | 28% |
| 20260909 | $0.81 | $0.44 | 54.6% | 0% |
| 20260908 | $1.17 | $0.77 | 68.3% | 12% |
| 20260904 | $1.19 | $0.49 | 69.8% | 15% |
| 20260903 | $1.15 | $0.45 | 67.4% | 11% |
| 20260902 | $1.87 | $0.77 | 65.7% | 8% |
| 20260901 | $1.07 | $0.57 | 66.8% | 10% |
| 20260831 | $1.27 | $0.41 | 60.4% | 0% |
| 20260828 | $1.07 | $0.61 | 64.7% | 3% |
| 20260827 | $1.09 | $0.80 | 65.5% | 4% |
| 20260826 | $1.18 | $0.76 | 63.1% | 0% |
| 20260825 | $1.19 | $0.71 | 67.7% | 5% |
| 20260824 | $1.12 | $0.46 | 64.7% | 0% |
| 20260821 | $1.33 | $0.68 | 69.0% | 4% |
| 20260820 | $1.18 | $0.60 | 66.5% | 0% |
| 20260819 | $1.40 | $0.70 | 77.6% | 10% |
| 20260818 | $1.30 | $0.80 | 72.1% | 0% |
| 20260817 | $1.51 | $0.85 | 88.2% | 29% |
| 20260814 | $1.45 | $0.88 | 77.2% | 8% |
| 20260813 | $1.25 | $1.04 | 77.5% | 9% |
| 20260812 | $1.48 | $1.06 | 82.7% | 19% |
| 20260811 | $1.58 | $0.96 | 81.0% | 15% |
| 20260810 | $1.50 | $0.48 | 73.1% | 0% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 91.0% | 35% |
| 20260806 | $1.55 | $0.80 | 90.8% | 34% |
| 20260805 | $2.56 | $0.87 | 124.6% | 100% |
| 20260804 | $1.85 | $1.21 | 99.6% | 81% |
| 20260803 | $1.68 | $0.60 | 90.6% | 53% |
| 20260731 | $1.62 | $0.76 | 90.6% | 53% |
| 20260730 | $1.46 | $0.65 | 81.2% | 25% |
| 20260729 | $1.54 | $0.70 | 89.7% | 51% |
| 20260728 | $1.50 | $0.68 | 85.7% | 39% |
| 20260727 | $1.58 | $0.47 | 90.6% | 53% |
More on PONY
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.