SH · Expected Move

ProShares Short S&P500 · ETF

The expected move for SH is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

SH straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current SH Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.10
7-Day Straddle
$0.40
30-Day ATM IV
13.1%
IV Rank
22%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SH's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
SH Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261009 $1.10 $0.40 13.1% 22%
20261008 $1.20 $0.38 13.5% 27%
20261007 $1.38 $0.62 15.4% 45%
20261006 $1.20 $0.53 13.5% 26%
20261005 $1.10 $0.53 12.5% 17%
20261002 $0.65 $0.65 13.4% 26%
20261001 $0.68 $0.68 16.8% 58%
20260930 $0.73 $0.73 13.9% 30%
20260929 $0.70 $0.70 13.0% 22%
20260928 $0.80 $0.80 15.7% 47%
20260925 $0.65 $0.65 10.6% 0%
20260924 $0.90 $0.90 14.3% 34%
20260923 $0.78 $0.78 13.6% 27%
20260922 $0.80 $0.80 13.4% 26%
20260921 $0.82 $0.82 13.6% 27%
20260918 $1.18 $0.30 14.8% 38%
20260917 $1.15 $0.33 15.0% 40%
20260916 $1.18 $0.30 15.9% 49%
20260915 $1.25 $0.40 — —
20260914 $1.23 $0.55 14.5% 35%
20260911 $1.20 $0.70 17.5% 64%
20260910 $1.38 $0.68 17.2% 60%
20260909 $1.48 $0.65 17.1% 60%
20260908 $1.23 $0.72 14.1% 32%
20260904 $1.05 $0.75 14.2% 33%
20260903 $1.38 $0.60 11.4% 7%
20260902 $1.05 $1.05 — —
20260901 $0.62 $0.62 10.7% 0%
20260831 $0.72 $0.72 14.8% 38%
20260828 $0.72 $0.72 19.1% 79%
20260827 $0.73 $0.73 13.5% 26%
20260826 $0.82 $0.82 13.5% 25%
20260825 $0.98 $0.98 20.1% 88%
20260824 $1.00 $1.00 13.1% 21%
20260821 $1.15 $0.70 14.9% 38%
20260820 $1.02 $0.48 — —
20260819 $0.97 $0.38 — —
20260818 $0.95 $0.33 — —
20260817 $1.08 $0.28 14.4% 34%
20260814 $1.05 $0.25 13.2% 23%
20260813 $1.17 $0.45 14.4% 24%
20260812 $0.95 $0.53 11.8% 6%
20260811 $1.20 $0.60 14.4% 24%
20260810 $0.88 $7.83 10.8% 0%
20260807 — — 13.6% 6%
20260806 $1.15 $8.00 13.7% 7%
20260805 $0.57 $0.57 13.2% 3%
20260804 $0.77 $0.77 12.8% 1%
20260803 $0.95 $0.95 15.5% 21%
20260731 $0.75 $0.75 12.7% 0%
20260730 $1.05 $1.05 14.9% 15%
20260729 $1.12 $1.12 16.5% 27%
20260728 $1.07 $1.07 — —
20260727 $1.25 $1.25 16.8% 29%
20260724 $1.15 $1.15 17.7% 36%
20260723 $0.97 $0.97 13.0% 1%
20260722 $1.12 $1.12 15.1% 16%
20260721 $1.02 $1.02 13.6% 5%
20260720 $0.93 $0.93 12.9% 0%
20260716 $1.10 $0.97 13.7% 4%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.