Instil Bio, Inc. Common Stock(TIL)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

Snapshot
$12.62
52-Week Range
$5.67 – $42.79
YTD
+11.98%
IV Rank (30D)
0
Straddle Price
$7.15
P/C Vol Ratio
0.00
Market Cap
$0.1B
Fair Value
+50.0% vs price
Confidence: 13% Alpha Score: 4.47

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.47%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)9.47%
WACC6.57%
Effective Tax Rate21.0%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+3.0%
DCF Horizon5 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$-0.0B
Return on Equity (TTM)-42.8%
Book / Price204.4% — banking bias active (P/B is primary)
Gross Margin (TTM)100.0%
FCF Margin (TTM)-1505.8%
Debt / Equity0.77
Quality Score1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF)
SMA 50$8.17 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$8.10
Bollinger Width / SMA2031.9% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$0.1B
Market Cap$0B
Peers used for multiples: BIIB, MRNA, NBIX, TECH (SIC-code peers; ETF co-membership was sector-incoherent)
Blended Fair Value
$27.63
Current Price
$8.15
Deviation
+50.0%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF n/a 0%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E n/a 0% median 24.6× · 3 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0% median 19.6× · 3 peers
Peer P/B $53.19 50% median 3.2× · 4 peers
Peer P/S $2.07 50% median 6.0× · 4 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $8.17 0% stability 0% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-06-09 · updated 2026-06-09 15:04:05.836000
Info
Industry (SIC)
BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (2836)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.1B

Instil Bio Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing a cell therapy pipeline of autologous tumor infiltrating lymphocyte, or TIL, therapies for the treatment of patients with cancer. It is also engaged in developing a novel class of genetically engineered TIL therapies using its Co-Stimulatory Antigen Receptor, or CoStAR, platform. Its pipeline includes ITIL-306 which expresses a CoStAR molecule designed to recognize, a tumor-associated antigen that is expressed on numerous solid tumors, including ovarian cancer, uterine cancer, NSCLC, and renal cancer.

Price History
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +2.23% 10
Feb +0.50% 10
Mar -5.48% 12
Apr -5.36% 11
May +4.68% 11
Jun -7.08% 11
Jul +1.75% 10
Aug +3.83% 10
Sep +33.85% 10
Oct -8.61% 10
Nov -7.35% 10
Dec -11.80% 10
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $8.10
SMA 50: $8.18
SMA 200: $12.38
Current: $8.15
EMA 12: $8.12
EMA 26: $8.12
MACD: -0.0094 | Signal: 0.0106
BEARISH
ADX (14): 15.30
RANGE
+DI: 13.50
−DI: 13.43
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 51.25
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 46.51
Stoch %D: 50.51
Williams %R: -41.86
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $8.21
BB Lower: $8.00
NEUTRAL
OBV: 6,196,981
Vol SMA 20: 26,705
Vol ROC: -96.96%
ATR: $0.24
True Range: $0.07
HV 20: 12.6%
HV 30: 16.9%
HV 60: 34.5%

Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated: 2026-06-09T15:00:11.953000
Date Range: 2024-06-10T00:00:00 – 2026-06-08T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
0
IV Rank (7D)
0
Avg IV
0.0%
Straddle (30D)
$7.15
Straddle (7D)
$7.15
P/C Volume
0.00
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
1.71
Correlation (SPY)
22.6%
0.05
Ann. Volatility
91.9%
SPY Volatility
12.1%

High volatility - stock moves more than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-03-31
Diluted shares outstanding: 6,701,240 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

29 filers2,359,145 shares$20.13M value35.20% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BML Capital Management, LLC 645,600 $5.32M 26.43% 9.63% 2026-03-31
2 CPMG Inc 410,922 $3.39M 16.82% 6.13% 2026-03-31
3 Vivo Capital, LLC 292,743 $2.41M 11.98% 4.37% 2026-03-31
4 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 191,060 $2.10M 10.44% 2.85% 2025-12-31
5 Kalehua Capital Management LLC 183,030 $1.51M 7.49% 2.73% 2026-03-31
6 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 132,946 $1.10M 5.44% 1.98% 2026-03-31
7 MORGAN STANLEY Custodian 88,979 $978.77K 4.86% 1.33% 2025-12-31
8 RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC 59,100 $486.98K 2.42% 0.88% 2026-03-31
9 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 52,018 $428.63K 2.13% 0.78% 2026-03-31
10 NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. 50,000 $412.00K 2.05% 0.75% 2026-03-31
11 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 49,011 $404.00K 2.01% 0.73% 2026-03-31
12 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian 38,562 $317.75K 1.58% 0.58% 2026-03-31
13 LPL Financial LLC Custodian 32,063 $264.20K 1.31% 0.48% 2026-03-31
14 XTX Topco Ltd 26,242 $216.23K 1.07% 0.39% 2026-03-31
15 DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP Custodian 19,975 $164.47K 0.82% 0.30% 2026-03-31
16 STATE STREET CORP 17,595 $144.98K 0.72% 0.26% 2026-03-31
17 Americana Partners, LLC 16,176 $133.29K 0.66% 0.24% 2026-03-31
18 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian 11,517 $94.90K 0.47% 0.17% 2026-03-31
19 PRELUDE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 10,300 $84.87K 0.42% 0.15% 2026-03-31
20 Vazirani Asset Management LLC 10,000 $82.40K 0.41% 0.15% 2026-03-31
21 UBS Group AG Custodian 6,378 $52.55K 0.26% 0.10% 2026-03-31
22 BARCLAYS PLC Custodian 4,135 $34.07K 0.17% 0.06% 2026-03-31
23 BOKF, NA 454 $3.74K 0.02% <0.01% 2026-03-31
24 ROYAL BANK OF CANADA Custodian 84 $1.00K <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
25 RHUMBLINE ADVISERS 114 $939 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/B Ratio0.5
P/S Ratio24.4
EV/EBITDA-2.3
TTM Revenue$0.0B
TTM Net Income$-0.0B
TTM EPS$-7.04
ROE-42.8%
Debt/Equity0.77