TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
ETF 42.21 DelayedETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $33.00 – $52.20
- YTD
- +13.01%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 36.42
- Straddle Price
- $3.80
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 1.62
- Open
- $41.71
- Day Range
- $41.69 – $42.39
- Volume
- 1,038,151
- Prev Close
- $42.20
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF (TMV) ETF
No description available.
- Exchange
- ARCX
- Inception
- 2009-04-16
- Has Options
- Yes
- Expense ratio
- 0.97% prospectus, filed Mar 3, 2026
- Assets
- $188M shares × price, Nov 6, 2026
- Trailing yield
- 2.27% paid quarterly
- Average daily volume
- $75M 30 sessions
- Holdings
- 9 top 10 are 0.0%
- Listed
- Apr 16, 2009 NYSE Arca
- Last fee change
- +2 bp filed Feb 26, 2026
- Tracking difference
- -0.73 pts vs index, after fees, FY 2025
Moves with. Long Treasuries (91% of its variance, beta -2.69); High yield over Treasuries (5% of its variance, beta 0.57). These factors explain 98% of its daily moves over the last year.
Stated objective. The Fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the inverse (or opposite) of the daily performance of the Index. The Fund does not seek to achieve its stated investment objective for a period of time different than a trading day. (from the fund's prospectus)
All 9 holdingsFlow historyOverlap toolAll Leveraged & Inverse Bond ETFs
- Jul 2026
- +$4.4M latest reported month
- Latest 3 months
- −$1.1M −0.6% of assets
- Latest 12 months
- −$8.3M −4.3% of assets
View as a table
| Month | Net flow |
|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | +$4.4M |
| Jun 2026 | −$11M |
| May 2026 | +$5.9M |
| Apr 2026 | −$3.8M |
| Mar 2026 | +$772K |
| Feb 2026 | +$5.2M |
| Jan 2026 | +$172K |
| Dec 2025 | −$9.1M |
| Nov 2025 | −$8.7M |
| Oct 2025 | −$5.5M |
| Sep 2025 | +$16M |
| Aug 2025 | −$1.9M |
Net creations and redemptions from the fund's SEC filings, which become public about 60 days after each quarter. Every month since 84 months ago
| Fund | Overlap | Fee | Assets | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMFDirexion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | — | 0.90% | $2.0B | −24.4% | compare |
| SHYDVanEck Short High Yield Muni ETF | — | 0.32% | $531M | −0.4% | compare |
| TBTProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury | — | 0.93% | $270M | +12.3% | compare |
| TBFProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF | — | 0.95% | $114M | +6.7% | compare |
| UBTProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | — | 0.95% | $69M | −13.9% | compare |
The largest other funds in the Leveraged & Inverse Bond category.
- Authorized participants
- 8 active of 8 with agreements; top 3 did 76%
- Created · redeemed
- $288M · $331M over the fiscal year
- Redemptions in kind
- 0% creations 0% in kind
- Creation unit
- 50,000 shares
- Securities lending
- authorized, none lent
- Return vs index
- -0.73 pts after fees; +0.18 before
- Diversification status
- Non-diversified may concentrate in fewer issuers
From the fund's annual census filing with the SEC. In-kind redemptions are what let an ETF shed appreciated securities without realising gains.
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | 2026-09-29 | $0.2265 | CD |
| 2026-06-23 | 2026-06-30 | $0.2411 | CD |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $0.3755 | CD |
| 2025-12-23 | 2025-12-31 | $0.1164 | CD |
| 2025-09-23 | 2025-09-30 | $0.2287 | CD |
| 2025-06-24 | 2025-07-01 | $0.2829 | CD |
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Asset Class | Country |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | DREYFUS GOVT CASH MAN INS | 53.83% | Cash/Money Market | — |
| — | GOLDMAN FINL SQ TRSRY INST 506 | 31.16% | Cash/Money Market | — |
| — | DREYFUS TRSRY SECURITIES CASH MGMT | 16.85% | Cash/Money Market | — |
| — | TLT SWAP ASSET LEG | -37.51% | Derivative | — |
| — | TLT SWAP ASSET LEG | -40.66% | Derivative | — |
| — | TLT SWAP ASSET LEG | -41.07% | Derivative | — |
| — | TLT SWAP ASSET LEG | -41.76% | Derivative | — |
| — | TLT SWAP ASSET LEG | -55.01% | Derivative | — |
| — | TLT SWAP ASSET LEG | -84.00% | Derivative | — |
| Category | Weight | Value | Positions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term investment | 95.46% | $184.4M | 3 |
| DO | 16.32% | $31.5M | 6 |
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 10.50% | 2.85% | -15.71% | 5.83% | 0.20% | 0.35% | 0.67% |
| Feb | 17.60% | 2.45% | 20.49% | 13.91% | -13.02% | -12.57% | 4.81% |
| Mar | 11.50% | 18.93% | -17.61% | -0.77% | 4.86% | 9.75% | 4.44% |
| Apr | -3.13% | 33.90% | 0.63% | 16.10% | 6.15% | 3.36% | 9.50% |
| May | -0.37% | -0.59% | 0.97% | -5.12% | 9.58% | 0.10% | 0.76% |
| Jun | -13.12% | 1.29% | -0.07% | -1.59% | -10.25% | -3.34% | -4.51% |
| Jul | -11.64% | -5.13% | 6.75% | -13.73% | 4.99% | 13.80% | -0.83% |
| Aug | 2.77% | 21.79% | 4.87% | -3.19% | 5.64% | -0.42% | 5.24% |
| Sep | 8.44% | 19.65% | 21.97% | -1.06% | -12.05% | 16.35% | 8.88% |
| Oct | -5.79% | 25.20% | 10.91% | 21.96% | -2.47% | -13.86% | 5.99% |
| Nov | -11.52% | -17.43% | -20.22% | -9.47% | -0.70% | -0.47%* | -9.97% |
| Dec | 6.99% | 17.91% | -18.81% | 23.00% | 5.24% | -- | 6.87% |
| Total | 6.69% | 184.72% | -16.66% | 45.52% | -5.14% | 8.86% | 37.33% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall assessment: NEUTRAL with confidence level (6/10)
Key drivers:
- Recent price action is consolidating within a range, lacking directional momentum
- Market sentiment remains neutral, with no clear trends or catalysts driving the stock
Primary risks:
- Volatility regime may persist, keeping option traders on their toes
- Earnings season is around the corner; any surprises could lead to significant moves
2-3 sentence investment thesis:
TMV's recent price action suggests a range-bound consolidation phase. The neutral sentiment and lack of clear trends create an opportunity for investors to position themselves ahead of upcoming earnings. A deeper dive into technical analysis, options metrics, and market data reveals potential trading strategies.
Recent news sentiment impact:
The recent news headlines (1-6) are generally neutral, with no major surprises or significant market-moving events. The absence of impactful news has contributed to the consolidation phase in TMV's price action.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term: Consolidation
- Medium-term: Uptrend
- Long-term: Uptrend
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Lower band: $40.91 (Bollinger Bands)
- Middle band: $42.39 (SMA 20 and EMA 12)
- Upper band: $43.87 (Bollinger Bands)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI: Neutral (46.58)
- MACD: Bullish momentum
- Bollinger Bands: Neutral signal
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 1167798.88
- OBV: -20014055.93 (bearish trend)
- Volume Rate of Change: -52.09% (bearish trend)
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary:
The recent news headlines are generally neutral, with no major surprises or significant market-moving events.
Sentiment Assessment:
Aggregate sentiment is neutral, reflecting the lack of clear trends or catalysts driving the stock.
Catalyst Identification:
Upcoming earnings season and potential rate changes could create opportunities for traders and investors.
TMV Options Activity & IV Rank
TMV IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Options Flow · All expiries
ATM Options Pricing
Chain Summary
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Calendars: the long leg is valued at the short leg’s expiration (Black-Scholes at its current IV) across the range of prices the short leg’s IV implies, giving the best-case profit (R/R = that over the debit) and P(profit).
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Scanning bull put, bear call, iron condor and calendar spreads…
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 6th percentile of this name's own daily history, near the low end of its range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Loading the implied volatility surface…
Loading the implied volatility smile…
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
TMV Institutional Ownership (13F)
Filings for 2026-06-30 · 10 already for 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $15.83M | 49.06% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $8.22M | 25.46% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $6.48M | 20.07% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | $1.67M | 5.17% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Belvedere Trading LLC | $79.82K | 0.25% | 2026-09-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $11.40M | 69.05% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $4.16M | 25.20% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | SJBENEN ADVISORY, LLC | $603.67K | 3.66% | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $344.66K | 2.09% | 2026-06-30 |
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
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| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Price | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month |
|---|