UNP · Expected Move

Union Pacific Corp.

The expected move for UNP is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

UNP straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current UNP Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$14.45
7-Day Straddle
$5.80
30-Day ATM IV
22.3%
IV Rank
12%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to UNP's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
UNP Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261023 $14.45 $5.80 22.3% 12%
20261022 $14.25 $8.57 20.9% 0%
20261021 $17.35 $13.35 26.3% 47%
20261020 $15.65 $13.15 23.8% 25%
20261019 $16.95 $10.85 25.6% 41%
20261016 $17.10 $12.55 26.6% 50%
20261015 $16.80 $12.75 25.7% 42%
20261014 $19.00 $13.45 28.6% 68%
20261013 $16.90 $13.20 25.8% 43%
20261012 $17.75 $5.75 26.3% 48%
20261009 $16.35 $7.50 26.3% 47%
20261008 $16.75 $6.72 26.7% 51%
20261007 $17.30 $7.55 27.6% 59%
20261006 $17.05 $7.82 26.5% 49%
20261005 $17.75 $5.72 26.7% 50%
20261002 $16.25 $6.72 26.1% 45%
20261001 $15.70 $7.95 25.4% 39%
20260930 $17.10 $7.90 27.0% 54%
20260929 $17.35 $8.55 27.3% 56%
20260928 $17.60 $5.72 27.6% 58%
20260925 $16.10 $6.25 26.3% 48%
20260924 $16.50 $8.20 26.7% 51%
20260923 $16.40 $8.15 26.0% 45%
20260922 $16.30 $9.20 25.3% 38%
20260921 $17.15 $6.75 26.2% 46%
20260918 $12.00 $7.25 21.7% 6%
20260917 $13.45 $8.30 21.7% 6%
20260916 $15.20 $9.05 23.3% 21%
20260915 $14.70 $9.55 22.1% 10%
20260914 $14.80 $6.45 22.1% 10%
20260911 $12.85 $7.97 21.1% 1%
20260910 $15.30 $9.45 23.4% 21%
20260909 $15.05 $9.25 23.2% 20%
20260908 $16.00 $9.90 23.9% 26%
20260904 $15.70 $7.92 24.1% 27%
20260903 $15.30 $9.25 23.5% 22%
20260902 $16.05 $8.15 24.1% 27%
20260901 $15.70 $9.62 23.4% 21%
20260831 $15.35 $6.50 21.7% 6%
20260828 $14.30 $7.98 21.0% 0%
20260827 $15.20 $7.95 21.5% 2%
20260826 $15.55 $8.68 21.9% 6%
20260825 $15.85 $9.05 22.1% 7%
20260824 $16.70 $6.53 22.8% 14%
20260821 $15.80 $7.60 23.1% 16%
20260820 $15.40 $8.90 22.6% 12%
20260819 $16.10 $9.50 23.2% 18%
20260818 $15.35 $9.50 21.9% 6%
20260817 $15.45 $6.40 22.0% 7%
20260814 $14.40 $6.58 21.3% 0%
20260813 $15.55 $8.95 22.3% 9%
20260812 $14.40 $8.75 21.3% 0%
20260811 $15.25 $7.72 22.0% 4%
20260810 $15.35 $5.75 22.1% 5%
20260807 — — 21.9% 3%
20260806 $16.25 $9.10 24.3% 23%
20260805 $16.25 $9.70 24.1% 21%
20260804 $17.35 $10.65 25.3% 31%
20260803 $17.10 $6.35 24.7% 26%
20260731 $15.45 $7.95 23.8% 18%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.