UPST · Expected Move
Upstart Holdings, Inc. Common stock
The expected move for UPST is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
UPST straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current UPST Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.50
7-Day Straddle
$1.36
30-Day ATM IV
65.6%
IV Rank
24%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to UPST's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
UPST Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261109 | $3.50 | $1.36 | 65.6% | 24% |
| 20261106 | $3.09 | $1.69 | 65.3% | 23% |
| 20261105 | $3.39 | $2.04 | 66.3% | 26% |
| 20261104 | $3.33 | $1.93 | 61.1% | 14% |
| 20261103 | $3.24 | $2.11 | 64.8% | 22% |
| 20261102 | $4.08 | $2.92 | 81.6% | 59% |
| 20261030 | $3.96 | $3.15 | 76.6% | 48% |
| 20261029 | $3.96 | $3.04 | 69.3% | 32% |
| 20261028 | $4.10 | $3.13 | 73.8% | 42% |
| 20261027 | $3.93 | $3.15 | 72.4% | 39% |
| 20261026 | $4.14 | $1.17 | 75.7% | 46% |
| 20261023 | $4.22 | $1.48 | 78.1% | 52% |
| 20261022 | $4.50 | $1.64 | 81.3% | 59% |
| 20261021 | $4.15 | $1.64 | 77.8% | 51% |
| 20261020 | $4.52 | $2.00 | 81.2% | 58% |
| 20261019 | $4.01 | $1.14 | 77.2% | 50% |
| 20261016 | $4.17 | $1.48 | 77.2% | 50% |
| 20261015 | $4.25 | $1.67 | 76.4% | 48% |
| 20261014 | $4.20 | $1.63 | 79.9% | 56% |
| 20261013 | $4.12 | $1.56 | 73.6% | 42% |
| 20261012 | $3.88 | $1.09 | 70.5% | 35% |
| 20261009 | $3.96 | $1.30 | 74.4% | 43% |
| 20261008 | $4.30 | $1.57 | 78.4% | 52% |
| 20261007 | $4.39 | $1.51 | 80.4% | 57% |
| 20261006 | $4.19 | $1.65 | 72.8% | 40% |
| 20261005 | $3.95 | $1.23 | 65.9% | 25% |
| 20261002 | $2.81 | $1.32 | 59.3% | 10% |
| 20261001 | $3.08 | $1.52 | 61.2% | 14% |
| 20260930 | $3.00 | $1.46 | 57.4% | 6% |
| 20260929 | $3.12 | $1.75 | 58.4% | 8% |
| 20260928 | $3.00 | $1.27 | 56.7% | 4% |
| 20260925 | $3.15 | $1.37 | 58.9% | 9% |
| 20260924 | $3.32 | $1.61 | 59.9% | 11% |
| 20260923 | $3.18 | $1.71 | 54.9% | 0% |
| 20260922 | $3.43 | $2.02 | 57.1% | 5% |
| 20260921 | $3.53 | $1.33 | 56.8% | 5% |
| 20260918 | $3.08 | $1.52 | 57.2% | 5% |
| 20260917 | $3.44 | $1.60 | 60.7% | 13% |
| 20260916 | $3.44 | $2.03 | 60.5% | 13% |
| 20260915 | $3.48 | $2.13 | 60.1% | 12% |
| 20260914 | $3.70 | $1.55 | 60.7% | 13% |
| 20260911 | $3.50 | $1.58 | 59.9% | 12% |
| 20260910 | $3.35 | $1.91 | 59.7% | 11% |
| 20260909 | $3.38 | $1.98 | 57.8% | 7% |
| 20260908 | $3.77 | $2.15 | 61.0% | 14% |
| 20260904 | $3.70 | $1.61 | 60.9% | 14% |
| 20260903 | $4.04 | $1.80 | 60.2% | 12% |
| 20260902 | $3.86 | $1.99 | 59.6% | 10% |
| 20260901 | $4.03 | $2.15 | 62.3% | 16% |
| 20260831 | $4.31 | $1.58 | 62.9% | 17% |
| 20260828 | $3.96 | $1.83 | 62.0% | 15% |
| 20260827 | $3.92 | $2.20 | 58.8% | 9% |
| 20260826 | $4.18 | $2.35 | 59.4% | 10% |
| 20260825 | $4.54 | $2.53 | 61.6% | 15% |
| 20260824 | $4.42 | $1.75 | 62.2% | 16% |
| 20260821 | $4.10 | $2.06 | 62.1% | 16% |
| 20260820 | $4.08 | $2.10 | 59.1% | 9% |
| 20260819 | $4.18 | $2.31 | 59.5% | 10% |
| 20260818 | $4.02 | $2.21 | 57.6% | 6% |
| 20260817 | $3.90 | $1.56 | 54.7% | 0% |
More on UPST
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.