VSTL Defiance Daily Target 2X Long VST ETF
ETFETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Fibonacci levels
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long VST ETF (VSTL) ETF
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Inception
- 2025-07-21
- Has Options
- No
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Asset Class | Country |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | First American Government Obli | 21.35% | Short-term investment | US |
| — | TREASURY BILL | 17.22% | Debt | US |
| — | N/A | 1.18% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | N/A | 0.80% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | N/A | 0.30% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | N/A | -0.39% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | N/A | -1.02% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| Category | Weight | Value | Positions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term investment | 21.35% | $1.6M | 1 |
| US Treasury | 17.22% | $1.3M | 1 |
| Derivative (equity) | 0.86% | $65759 | 5 |
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -12.45% | 1 |
| Feb | +15.19% | 1 |
| Mar | -25.06% | 1 |
| Apr | +3.45% | 1 |
| May | +0.36% | 1 |
| Jun | +0.56% | 1 |
| Jul | +4.82% | 2 |
| Aug | -14.16% | 2 |
| Sep | +6.75% | 2 |
| Oct | -4.16% | 2 |
| Nov | -11.84% | 1 |
| Dec | -17.63% | 1 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Here is my comprehensive stock analysis report for VSTL:
Executive Summary
Overall assessment: BEARISH (confidence level 6/10)
Key drivers and primary risks:
- Bearish momentum signals from MACD and Stochastic Oscillators
- High volatility, driven by high beta and historical volatility
- Recent news sentiment not available, but could impact analysis
Investment thesis:
VSTL is a highly volatile stock with a strong bearish trend. The lack of recent news may lead to continued volatility, making it challenging for investors to make informed decisions.
Recent news sentiment impact:
No recent news headlines are available, which limits the impact on our analysis.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks) and Medium-term (1-3 months) bearish trends. Long-term trend is neutral.
Support/Resistance Levels:
- SMA 20 ($26.32): resistance level
- EMA 12 ($24.25): support level
- Bollinger Bands:
- Upper: $32.65 (resistance)
- Middle: $26.32 (support)
- Lower: $20.00 (support)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI (14): 37.98 (neutral)
- MACD: -1.65 / Signal: -0.63 / Histogram: -1.03 (bearish)
- Stochastic %K: 6.83
- Stochastic %D: 8.23
- Williams %R: -84.84
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 55627.85
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): -1210560.73
- Volume Rate of Change: 1314.92%
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary:
No recent news headlines available.
Sentiment Assessment:
No sentiment analysis possible due to lack of recent news.
Catalyst Identification:
No upcoming events, earnings, or product launches are available.
Market Narrative:
The absence of recent news makes it challenging to determine the market narrative. However, the bearish momentum signals and high volatility suggest that the stock may continue its downtrend.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation:
High risk (beta >1.2) with a value of 3.02.
Volatility Regime:
Current volatility level is higher than historical volatility levels.
Options Market Signals:
No options data available.
Downside Protection:
- Support levels: SMA 20 ($26.32), EMA 12 ($24.25)
- Risk management considerations: stop-loss at $19.50 (10% below current price)
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance:
VSTL's performance is relative to the broader market.
Institutional Activity:
No institutional activity data available.
Correlation Analysis:
High correlation with the market (R-squared interpretation).
Relative Valuation:
Position within trading range, which may indicate a potential reversal or continuation of the downtrend.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 20 ($26.32): resistance
- EMA 12 ($24.25): support
- Bollinger Bands:
- Upper: $32.65 (resistance)
- Middle: $26.32 (support)
- Lower: $20.00 (support)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Breakout above SMA 20 or EMA 12 could indicate a reversal
- Breakdown below Bollinger Bands' lower band could confirm the bearish trend
Time-Sensitive Catalysts:
No time-sensitive catalysts available.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss at $19.50 (10% below current price) and position sizing considerations based on risk tolerance.
Please note that this analysis is based solely on the provided data and does not take into account any external market or economic factors.
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 2.86
- Correlation (SPY)
- 38.9%
- R²
- 0.15
- Ann. Volatility
- 95.8%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
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| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Price | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month |
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