What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
50/50 line14%Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
Line nearest 50/50
14%
Runner-up
12%
Biggest 24h move+6 pts
10%
24h volume
$17K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
6| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) | 14% | — | $294 | $168K |
| Dilution of Iran's Uranium | 12% | +0.5 | $461 | $168K |
| ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) | 12% | — | $0 | $168K |
| Enriched Uranium Surrender | 10% | +6.0 | $16K | $168K |
| 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium | 10% | — | $0 | $168K |
| Iran Reconstruction Funding | 9% | — | $0 | $168K |
How it settles
Rules
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.