What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 39%, implying a 39% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Iran Reconstruction Funding

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (175d) 24h volume $1.7K Open interest $43.4K Event What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

39%

implied YES probability

+9.5pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 70% · Low 29% · 7d -23.7pp

Rules

Open on Polymarket

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.