What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (175d) 24h volume $30 Open interest $43.4K Event What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

28%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 49% · Low 26% · 7d -19.7pp

Rules

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.