What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 31%, implying a 31% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (175d) 24h volume $254 Open interest $43.4K Event What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

31%

implied YES probability

-2.5pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 54% · Low 34% · 7d -16.2pp

Rules

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.