P PolymarketPolitics & Elections

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
Settles Jan 01, 2027 (73d) All outcomes: What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

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Preview
chance of YES14%
Price range (120d)
8–34%
30d +16 pts · 7d +7 pts
24h volume
$294
USDC traded
Open interest
$167.8K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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Other outcomes in this event

Dilution of Iran's Uranium12%$461
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)12%—
Enriched Uranium Surrender10%$15.8K
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium10%—
Iran Reconstruction Funding9%—

How it settles

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