Which companies will the US take a stake in?

7 outcomesSettles Jan 01, 2027 (72d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite29%Unusual Machines
Favorite
29%
Unusual Machines
Runner-up
25%
Anduril
Biggest 24h move-5 pts
6%
Anthropic
24h volume
$971
$181K open interest

Current odds

one winner
Anduril 25% +4
OpenAI 12%
Nvidia 12% +1
Boeing 7%
Anthropic 6% -5

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

7
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Unusual Machines 29% -20.5 $1 $26K
Anduril 25% +4.0 $132 $26K
OpenAI 12% — $9 $26K
Nvidia 12% +1.0 $275 $26K
Boeing 7% +0.5 $10 $26K
Anthropic 6% -4.6 $540 $26K
Palantir 5% +0.5 $5 $26K

How it settles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.