polymarket Politics

Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?

TSMC
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $4.1K Open interest $16.3K Event Which companies will the US take a stake in?
16%
implied YES probability
+2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 73 days · High 50% · Low 7% · 7d -56.2pp · 30d -22.2pp
50%7%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

D-Wave
90% YES
24h vol $318
GlobalFoundries
50% YES
24h vol $83
Anduril
40% YES
24h vol $128
Palantir
29% YES
24h vol $1.1K
Anthropic
24% YES
24h vol $11
IonQ
22% YES
24h vol $9
OpenAI
22% YES
24h vol $789
Micron
16% YES
24h vol $16

Recent news mentioning this market

Related stocks

TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.