polymarket
Politics
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?
Micron
16%
implied YES probability
-26.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 87 days ·
High 56% ·
Low 12%
· 7d -64.9pp
· 30d 0.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Stock Market Today, June 16: Nvidia, Broadcom, and Micron Technology Lead Drop in Nasdaq
Motley Fool · 7h ago
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Yahoo Finance · 13h ago
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Prediction: This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Infrastructure Stock Will Skyrocket in June (Hint: It's Not Micron Technology)
Motley Fool · 16h ago
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.