K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before Jan 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (49d) All outcomes: Who will be arrested in 2026?

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Preview
chance of YES2% -3.2pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
0–9%
30d -90 pts · 7d -87 pts
24h volume
369
$1 contracts
Open interest
16.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$4K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Jensen Huang22%672
Ilhan Omar10%3.3K
John Brennan8%1.9K
Mahmoud Khalil7%—
James Clapper6%—
Letitia James5%93
Loretta Lynch5%—
Susan Rice4%—

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO100¢ 4,438$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.