K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

Above 150
Settles Oct 20, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

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chance of YES98% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
94–97%
24h volume
4.0K
$1 contracts
Open interest
8.8K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$8K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 16094%2.4K
Above 17088%6.5K
Above 18081%5.3K
Above 18566%1.0K
Above 19053%2.4K
Above 20026%3.2K
Above 21010%1.3K
Above 2204%1.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES97¢ 3,000$3K
YES96¢ 1,060$1K
YES95¢ 3,000$3K
YES96¢ 1,140$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.