Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
chance of YES88%
+8.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
75–88%
24h volume
6.5K
Open interest
7.8K
Large orders (14d)
$5K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 80¢ | 4,304 | $3K | |
| YES | 77¢ | 2,319 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.